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You're listening to Strictly Business
Podcast with Lindsay Williams.

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The JSC has closed its doors for another
day, so it's time for the five o'clock

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shadow.

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And as always, on a Thursday, I've got the
double-headed Dream Team edition of Viv

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Govender from Ransuisse and

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David Shapiro from Sasson Securities in
Johannesburg.

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Gentlemen,

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I won't say that I'm not still sort of
slightly under the weather mentally after

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what

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happened yesterday.

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And but well done on both to both of you
for predicting it.

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But I don't think either of you could have
predicted the margin of victory for Donald

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J.

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Trump.

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Viv, it was quite startling, wasn't it?

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Yes.

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And it was it was startling for one major
reason.

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And that was the media did not do their
job.

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If you think about it, I mean, we were
getting things from what was called the

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gold standard of pollsters.

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So that Harris is going to win, I think,
in Ohio.

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Right.

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And she ended up losing by.

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The margin of error was like 17%.

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You know what I mean?

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And this was, if you look back, like a
story that was being published on like the

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New York Times, as you know, the pollsters
say there's a massive run-up before the

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election.

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The media did not do their job.

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It should not have been a surprise how
well Trump did if the media had done their

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job.

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And that's the only thing that I'm really
concerned about.

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It's the fact that we have somehow entered
a period where due to partisanship,

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we don't know what the objective truth of
the world is.

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And that is the really bad thing that
we're experiencing at the moment.

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Do you think then the media was trying to
influence people by putting out these

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rejections of a tight race, Viv?

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And then, David, I'll come to you in a
second.

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I mean, obviously they did, because you
look at the Republican guys, they were

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always saying Trump was going to win by a
ton.

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Look at the Democrats, guys, often by too
much, more than he ended up winning by.

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And you look at the Democrats, they were
saying, I mean, you put the New York Times

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and CNN and those guys in the Democrats.

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They will say, look, Kamala Harris is
doing much better than...

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that it's a very clear thing you're hardly
there's no uh independent you know like

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you know institution like the bbc in the

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u.s um you know even though the bbc might
be accused of being more left-wing than

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right-wing in the uk that is considered to
be

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an objective source of truth right now in
the u.s you could not find a single big

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newspaper that's an objective source

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of truth that i don't even read the uh
jeff

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bezos uh you know op-ed but why he didn't
endorse kamala harris and it comes down to

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the fact that

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the US news media is now less trusted than
the US Congress.

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And we're talking about like, you know,
like, there's low teens of trust in the

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news media.

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It's because depending on the newspaper
you read, you get a little bit entirely

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different world.

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And yes, they get some things right.

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But when it comes down to it and it's
contentious, they're going to default to a

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partisan kind of outlook, which is, you
know,

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they must be a market for an independent
media source in the world.

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I don't know why it doesn't exist at the
moment.

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Well, it's almost like a ratings agency
style media outlet,

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which just disseminates all the
information and doesn't have any, there's

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no partisan leaning.

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David, you're obviously disappointed.

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I've never asked Viv what his leanings
were, but I know yours.

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You know what really annoys me is that
having looked at it, and I should have

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seen it before, but I was too blinded by
the fact that I wanted

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Harris to win.

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Campaign was so weak and her campaign team
missed so many.

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own goals, especially on the economy.

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I could have written her script for the
economy and how she should have approached

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it.

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They were so flimsy compared to the Trump
thing, which was when he got on stage,

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he'll do his normal thing, then he'll say,
are you better off now than you were four

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years ago?

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That resonates with people, no matter
whether they're simple or sophisticated.

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I think the one thing that we missed was
just how

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important inflation was on the wallets of
most people,

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even if they were wealthier than they were
a few years ago.

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No one picked up what this meant.

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And also,

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no one picked up how the population were
sick and tired of the status

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quo, you know, nothing happening.

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And that goes back to the whole Biden
presidency.

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And I think she couldn't distance herself.

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In other words, she never had enough time
to actually distance herself from Biden

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and what he stood for.

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But I think, you know, going back to your
point and to Viv's point,

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is that the media missed the feelings

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of the population, the mood of the
population.

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And that's, you know, that's coming out
now.

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I mean, the fact that.

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She didn't win the women's vote,

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despite the fact that she had this
abortion on her side or the anti-abortion,

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attacking anti-abortion.

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She didn't win that.

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She lost the Latino vote.

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She lost the African-American vote, you
know, in droves.

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And the traditional base of the Democrats
also left her.

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And the other one was, you know, normally
the Republicans would win the rural areas

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or the outlying.

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No, they won, you know, in the cities.

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There was even in New York and in
California and places like that.

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So she was abandoned.

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I mean, let me put it another way.

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The Democratic Party was abandoned.

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People just left it in droves.

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And as we go now and look at it, we say we
were so far away from it.

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And I think the journalists were angry.

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They were bitter.

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I like this Atlanta.

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I read the Atlanta, sorry, Atlantic.

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Yes.

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And even now they're coming, you know, the
man elected president last night is a

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depraved and brazen,

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pathological liar.

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a shameless con man, a sociopath criminal.

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You know, they carry on like that.

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I'm saying, listen, you've lost.

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Take a few steps back.

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Get rid of your anger and understand where
you are and what needs to be done to

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change it if you don't want this man.

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So, you know, when I saw the results, I
could not believe it.

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You know, I'm still kind of trying to
grasp it and hook on to it.

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His tired old arguments about him being
this and that, I mean, are exactly that.

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He keeps on going on and on, and people,
it just brushes, washes over people now.

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It doesn't matter what he said.

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I mean, J.D.

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Vance said, he said that Harris was trash.

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How can you say that?

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How can you say that as someone that's
going to be in the White House?

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This is a woman who's worked her way up
from a normal upbringing to being a

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prosecutor in San Francisco, and then...

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Vice President, why would he say that she
is trash?

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But people are used to that now.

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So it doesn't matter.

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So the Atlantic can say whatever it likes.

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And people can say what they like as well.

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The fact is that there was a landslide.

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What really gets me is the smugness of
Trump and that freaky family of his.

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No, I'm not being nasty.

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I'm getting as bad as Vance now.

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But it is very strange that that picture
that I sent you both earlier today, it's a

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family photograph.

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But Elon Musk is in there holding a child
and no Melania Trump in there.

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I mean, Viv, you thought that the woman
standing,

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the tall blonde woman standing to the left
of Elon Musk was Melania Trump.

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But no, Melania Trump, I think, has said
to her husband, listen, I'm supposed to do

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so many minutes a day,

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whatever, over a month.

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And that's why I signed the agreement to
stop me from talking about our marriage.

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And this photograph does not fall within
those minutes.

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I don't know.

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But, Viv, didn't you find it sort of
cult-like, that picture?

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Yeah, look, I mean,

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the thing is that it's definitely a
victory of

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personality.

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The reason I would say that is because if
you look at it, Trump won all the swing

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states, right?

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Yeah.

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But I think he only managed to flip a
single Senate seat in those swing states.

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That means that the people that were also
running as Republicans in those swing

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states, like Nevada, he won by a lot.

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But I think all the congressional seats
and currently the Senate seat, it's quite

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close, but it looks like the Senate seat
as well is going to go Democrat.

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Okay.

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So it wasn't a case of Trump took on the
Republican Party, going to rule the

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Republican Party, and people are voting
for Trump because he's the Republican

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candidate,

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if you know what I mean.

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Yeah.

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People have voted Republican because Trump
is the candidate.

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You can ask the difference here.

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So it is a case of, it's not a Republican
victory, it's a Trump victory.

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Because he's basically overshadowed the
Republican Party to such an extent that,

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yes, like in, for instance, Texas,

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he won by more than Ted Cruz won by.

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Right?

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Even though they are both Republicans or
whatever.

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People were splitting the vote.

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I think in North Carolina, people voted
for the Democratic governor and voted for

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Trump as the...

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presidential candidate.

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So this is a case, this is a cult of
personality.

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I don't think, luckily,

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that any of his children have the same
personality or abilities to run this or do

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something like this, except for his
daughter, Ivanka Trump, Ivana Trump.

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I'm not sure the name is one of the two.

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Anyway, I think the daughter might have
the ability.

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The sons don't seem to have that.

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I don't know what the youngest son is.

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I'm not going to talk about him because
he's a teenager, so it's not obviously

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right.

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Baron, the really tall one with the Donald
mouth.

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Yeah, he's got the same mouth.

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He's got the mother's look that's fine,
yeah.

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He's a child.

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You can't talk about children.

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So, I mean, even though I think he's 18 or
something, you can't talk about that.

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I think Ivanka, I think it's Ivanka.

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Ivanka, yes.

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Basically, yeah.

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Because the mother's name is Ivana, so
it's very confusing.

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Anyway, I think she's the only one that
seems to have the ability to speak

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English.

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But she kind of diversed that through her
husband, Jared Kushner, who's the one that

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took a big step there.

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But I want to talk about a couple of
things here.

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And I don't know if you guys realize this,
right?

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If you look at JD Vance and who he is,
okay, and it's a bit conspiratorial, just

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follow me for a second,

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but this is something that I talked about
before, and I think I mentioned it to you

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guys as well.

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Okay, given Trump's age and his weight, I
saw somebody put a study out there that

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the chance of somebody like that, if you
had to do like an actuarial thing,

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of surviving four years is something like
60-30%.

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So there's about a one-third chance
something happens to him in the next four

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years, given his age and given his BMI.

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You understand?

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So that means J.D.

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Vance has about one in three chance of
being the president of the United States

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in the next four years.

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Well, this is what I saw today.

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Sorry to interrupt you.

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It said that the one person who clearly
dislikes the Republican Party under the

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stewardship of

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Trump.

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He said the only thing that I only reason
I really want Trump to live.

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And this is not me saying this is what I
read.

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The only reason I want Trump to live for
the next four years is so that J.D.

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Vance does not come.

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into power because he is far more
dangerous than Trump is.

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Is that the sort of sentiment you're
trying to get across?

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Yeah, but it's also important, right?

238
00:11:20.787 --> 00:11:25.708
Because, I mean, Fiddle Teal is the man
that created Jerry Vance.

239
00:11:26.909 --> 00:11:28.429
And I say that objectively.

240
00:11:28.789 --> 00:11:34.331
Fiddle Teal is the guy that basically
invented Vance when he was in Silicon

241
00:11:34.331 --> 00:11:36.331
Valley, kind of gave him his career,

242
00:11:36.331 --> 00:11:36.431
and then basically gave him his Senate
seat.

243
00:11:37.311 --> 00:11:43.293
Because he basically was a guy called, he
sponsored two people, Blake Masters and

244
00:11:43.293 --> 00:11:45.293
Jerry Vance, to get in.

245
00:11:45.293 --> 00:11:46.894
to the Senate, and Vance was the one that
got through and Blake Marston didn't.

246
00:11:47.675 --> 00:11:52.517
So J.D. Vance holds his entire career,
including his political career, to Peter

247
00:11:52.517 --> 00:11:52.837
Thiel.

248
00:11:52.837 --> 00:11:56.878
I don't know if you've seen Palantir share
price.

249
00:11:59.820 --> 00:12:01.680
I've seen that thing go up like a rocket
ship.

250
00:12:03.401 --> 00:12:04.482
It's Peter Thiel.

251
00:12:05.182 --> 00:12:06.242
Yeah, okay, it's Peter Thiel.

252
00:12:06.782 --> 00:12:12.605
And if something happens to Trump, Peter
Thiel is going to basically have control

253
00:12:12.965 --> 00:12:14.866
a very strong link with Vance.

254
00:12:15.166 --> 00:12:17.587
And Keterfield's Palantir does a lot of
business with government.

255
00:12:17.967 --> 00:12:20.969
It's one of those, it's almost like a
secret CIA kind of company.

256
00:12:21.829 --> 00:12:22.529
Okay.

257
00:12:22.729 --> 00:12:27.171
And especially if you look at what's
happening right now with, you know,

258
00:12:27.171 --> 00:12:29.171
Trump's talking about the intelligence
system.

259
00:12:29.171 --> 00:12:31.233
He's going to replace the CIA and the FBI
basically with like Palantir.

260
00:12:31.253 --> 00:12:31.953
Palantir, yeah.

261
00:12:33.134 --> 00:12:33.834
Exactly.

262
00:12:33.834 --> 00:12:34.514
Okay.

263
00:12:34.514 --> 00:12:36.235
So Keterfield, if you think, okay, this is
a territorial.

264
00:12:36.755 --> 00:12:39.056
Let me give you an example as to
Keterfield, right?

265
00:12:39.077 --> 00:12:39.777
No.

266
00:12:40.725 --> 00:12:47.428
think of 401k it's a it's an investment
thing that you use to invest in the us

267
00:12:47.428 --> 00:12:49.428
right what do you think the limits of

268
00:12:49.428 --> 00:12:54.331
the 401k are it's about twenty thousand
dollars okay it used to be uh you know to

269
00:12:54.331 --> 00:12:56.331
this um so it's

270
00:12:56.331 --> 00:13:01.193
irish sorry it's a thousand dollars okay
it's this it's this it's this uh small

271
00:13:01.193 --> 00:13:03.193
little kind of uh investment

272
00:13:03.193 --> 00:13:08.316
uh thing you put in uh for you know
investing uh money field just long term

273
00:13:08.316 --> 00:13:10.316
yeah okay so you put it put your six
thousand

274
00:13:10.316 --> 00:13:12.599
dollars in each time right What do you
think Philip Thiel's IRA is worth?

275
00:13:13.440 --> 00:13:16.843
Go on. $6,000 limit.

276
00:13:17.203 --> 00:13:17.904
Oh, yeah, you can put it.

277
00:13:18.284 --> 00:13:19.265
What do you think this thing is worth?

278
00:13:20.266 --> 00:13:22.007
Gosh, Viv, you're the stats man.

279
00:13:22.027 --> 00:13:22.727
You must tell us.

280
00:13:23.649 --> 00:13:24.670
No, no, take a wild guess.

281
00:13:24.930 --> 00:13:30.535
If I give you an investment platform, I
give you an investment platform, and

282
00:13:30.535 --> 00:13:32.535
you're the world's best investor, and I
say to you,

283
00:13:32.535 --> 00:13:37.381
put $6,000 a year away, and after a couple
of decades, what would be the value of

284
00:13:37.381 --> 00:13:39.381
this investment that you put away?

285
00:13:39.381 --> 00:13:41.381
That's a monstrous amount of money.

286
00:13:41.381 --> 00:13:43.381
David, you've got to help me here.

287
00:13:43.381 --> 00:13:44.325
I can't compound fast enough.

288
00:13:44.325 --> 00:13:45.685
How many years?

289
00:13:46.546 --> 00:13:50.668
If I can give you $6,000, right? $72,000 a
year, okay.

290
00:13:50.668 --> 00:13:54.550
No, no, $6,000 a year. $6,000 a year and a
decade is $60,000.

291
00:13:55.531 --> 00:13:56.231
It's nothing.

292
00:13:56.231 --> 00:14:02.274
So even compounded, it's maybe three,
four, five times up.

293
00:14:03.795 --> 00:14:04.495
More $5 billion.

294
00:14:05.736 --> 00:14:06.436
What?

295
00:14:07.477 --> 00:14:08.858
Five billion dollars.

296
00:14:10.619 --> 00:14:12.561
These are real numbers, Viv.

297
00:14:12.561 --> 00:14:13.261
These are real numbers.

298
00:14:14.182 --> 00:14:17.745
Peter Thiel's Roth IRA is worth plus five
million dollars.

299
00:14:17.745 --> 00:14:20.347
Back in 2019, it's probably almost double
that right now.

300
00:14:20.927 --> 00:14:21.627
Okay.

301
00:14:21.768 --> 00:14:23.069
This man plans in advance.

302
00:14:23.069 --> 00:14:30.014
He basically took the shares and the
companies he had basically invested in,

303
00:14:30.014 --> 00:14:32.014
all these kind of like, you know, unlisted
companies, and you're buying them at

304
00:14:32.014 --> 00:14:34.014
really cheap prices.

305
00:14:34.014 --> 00:14:34.057
And he's putting his, I don't know if it's
Facebook, but he's putting all these

306
00:14:34.057 --> 00:14:36.057
investments into this thing.

307
00:14:36.057 --> 00:14:38.626
And he has a Roth IRA, which in a couple
of years time, he's going to retire and

308
00:14:38.626 --> 00:14:40.626
get it tax free.

309
00:14:40.626 --> 00:14:42.626
Because that's how the Roth IRA works.

310
00:14:42.626 --> 00:14:44.626
It's a fixed means of income.

311
00:14:44.626 --> 00:14:46.626
Yeah, the 401k.

312
00:14:46.626 --> 00:14:48.626
What's it?

313
00:14:48.626 --> 00:14:50.626
401.

314
00:14:50.626 --> 00:14:52.626
Yeah.

315
00:14:52.626 --> 00:14:54.626
Yeah.

316
00:14:54.626 --> 00:14:56.626
The Roth IRA.

317
00:14:56.626 --> 00:14:58.626
Okay.

318
00:14:58.626 --> 00:15:00.626
Five billion dollars, right?

319
00:15:00.626 --> 00:15:02.626
This is what this man did.

320
00:15:02.626 --> 00:15:04.626
He once was insulted by a newspaper who
published the fact that he was gay.

321
00:15:04.626 --> 00:15:06.626
Okay.

322
00:15:06.626 --> 00:15:08.626
This is a, it's a true thing, right?

323
00:15:08.626 --> 00:15:10.626
And what happened was he decided to take
revenge.

324
00:15:10.626 --> 00:15:12.626
He concocted this huge multi-year revenge
plot, but it involved Hulk Hogan, the

325
00:15:12.626 --> 00:15:14.626
wrestler, I'm not joking,

326
00:15:14.626 --> 00:15:16.626
okay?

327
00:15:16.626 --> 00:15:18.626
And he bankrupted Gawker. He bankrupted
the company, and

328
00:15:18.626 --> 00:15:21.211
I think he basically drove the man that
was the journalist you hated to attempt

329
00:15:21.211 --> 00:15:23.211
suicide or something.

330
00:15:23.211 --> 00:15:24.572
It is really like, this guy plans long
term.

331
00:15:24.893 --> 00:15:29.635
So what I say to you, that he put in JD
Vance as a guy that said it a few years

332
00:15:29.635 --> 00:15:30.015
ago.

333
00:15:31.207 --> 00:15:33.688
Two, three years of planning is nothing to
this man.

334
00:15:33.688 --> 00:15:39.189
That explains a lot about J.D.'s stance
towards life and to politics and how he's

335
00:15:39.189 --> 00:15:39.289
switched.

336
00:15:39.390 --> 00:15:45.031
I mean, the switch from saying Trump is
America's Hitler to being his little

337
00:15:45.031 --> 00:15:47.031
laptop.

338
00:15:47.031 --> 00:15:49.031
I mean, it's extraordinary.

339
00:15:49.031 --> 00:15:50.273
And that's what's so disturbing, that if
he does get into power, what is he capable

340
00:15:50.273 --> 00:15:50.392
of?

341
00:15:50.392 --> 00:15:57.014
If he's capable of doing the switch, doing
a full 180 on Trump, what can he do if

342
00:15:57.014 --> 00:15:59.014
he's in power?

343
00:15:59.014 --> 00:16:01.014
This is very, very disturbing.

344
00:16:01.014 --> 00:16:03.014
He's younger.

345
00:16:03.014 --> 00:16:05.014
It's significantly smarter.

346
00:16:05.014 --> 00:16:07.014
J.D.

347
00:16:07.014 --> 00:16:09.014
Vance is significantly smarter.

348
00:16:09.014 --> 00:16:11.014
I think you'd have to go back to Obama and
Clinton to see comparable people with

349
00:16:11.014 --> 00:16:13.014
brain power in there.

350
00:16:13.014 --> 00:16:15.014
He may even be above that in terms of his
raw ability.

351
00:16:15.014 --> 00:16:19.543
If you look at him on the interview shows
he did, he was handling hostile interviews

352
00:16:19.543 --> 00:16:21.543
so easily.

353
00:16:21.543 --> 00:16:23.543
He's really clever.

354
00:16:23.543 --> 00:16:25.543
He's really clever.

355
00:16:25.543 --> 00:16:27.543
But like I said,

356
00:16:27.543 --> 00:16:28.571
this is a editorial, I know, but...

357
00:16:29.039 --> 00:16:34.943
Peter Thiel, and what he did with Jenny
Vance, looking at his history, this is a

358
00:16:34.943 --> 00:16:36.943
man that was like a chess champion.

359
00:16:36.943 --> 00:16:37.425
He was really fast.

360
00:16:37.425 --> 00:16:38.986
And, by the way, he's a Christian.

361
00:16:39.407 --> 00:16:40.948
Is Thiel, I mean,

362
00:16:41.008 --> 00:16:46.712
is he that power mad that he wants to
control these people through them?

363
00:16:46.732 --> 00:16:52.836
You know, is his aim to, you know, to
control the American economy?

364
00:16:53.337 --> 00:16:54.517
I'm trying to go further.

365
00:16:54.578 --> 00:16:55.959
Why would one do this?

366
00:16:56.639 --> 00:17:00.202
I mean, he's an enormously wealthy man in
his own right.

367
00:17:00.202 --> 00:17:05.207
He's behind very, very successful Silicon
Valley companies.

368
00:17:05.607 --> 00:17:08.550
You know, what's the driving force of
Peter Thiel?

369
00:17:08.570 --> 00:17:11.893
You know, why would he want to be in that
kind of position?

370
00:17:14.336 --> 00:17:15.036
I don't know.

371
00:17:15.176 --> 00:17:16.918
Look, I mean, Peter Thiel is one of the
weirder guys.

372
00:17:17.358 --> 00:17:18.559
By the way, he's South African as well,
right?

373
00:17:18.599 --> 00:17:22.123
Oh, with the name Thiel, of course, yes.

374
00:17:25.201 --> 00:17:31.966
t-h-i-e-l i think isn't it yes and so he
he's born in germany but he's lived in his

375
00:17:31.966 --> 00:17:33.966
family lived in south africa although also
i mean

376
00:17:33.966 --> 00:17:38.510
like no no this is weird if you look at
the paypal mafia and kill was part of the

377
00:17:38.510 --> 00:17:40.510
paypal mafia okay again

378
00:17:40.510 --> 00:17:41.893
goes tutorial i'm going to admit that but

379
00:17:41.933 --> 00:17:48.918
what happened was as a party was ending a
lot of people sent their money overseas

380
00:17:48.918 --> 00:17:50.918
you know with their young kids and these
young kids

381
00:17:50.918 --> 00:17:54.903
go to the us and what are they They're
young people, they're outside the culture,

382
00:17:54.903 --> 00:17:56.903
and they have this money that was given to
them by their family.

383
00:17:56.903 --> 00:17:58.903
Where do they congregate to?

384
00:17:58.903 --> 00:18:00.903
Silicon Valley, because that's the
opportunity.

385
00:18:00.903 --> 00:18:02.903
That's like the crypto of the past, except
Israel.

386
00:18:02.903 --> 00:18:06.412
And a lot of the money that you see
floating around Silicon Valley was

387
00:18:06.412 --> 00:18:08.412
effectively apartheid exile money.

388
00:18:08.412 --> 00:18:13.198
And so Peter Thiel, David Sachs, is also
South African,

389
00:18:13.638 --> 00:18:19.162
Big Shot, Zooling podcast, also a
billionaire.

390
00:18:19.903 --> 00:18:21.984
Elon Musk, Rothwater.

391
00:18:23.105 --> 00:18:23.805
Yeah.

392
00:18:23.805 --> 00:18:27.247
Well, Musk, and they also had the PayPal
connection, right?

393
00:18:27.267 --> 00:18:28.388
They're all PayPal guys, yeah.

394
00:18:28.648 --> 00:18:30.229
So yeah, these guys all came from here.

395
00:18:30.229 --> 00:18:32.991
And I don't know whether or not it's just
a megalomania.

396
00:18:32.991 --> 00:18:33.691
Interesting.

397
00:18:33.691 --> 00:18:35.092
I'm looking up now.

398
00:18:35.092 --> 00:18:35.792
Yeah.

399
00:18:35.792 --> 00:18:36.913
He was also in Namibia.

400
00:18:37.534 --> 00:18:40.735
Yeah, he lived in South Africa and
Namibia.

401
00:18:41.836 --> 00:18:42.617
South Africa.

402
00:18:42.617 --> 00:18:44.738
And changed elementary school seven times.

403
00:18:44.738 --> 00:18:46.519
He attended a school in Swakopmund.

404
00:18:46.947 --> 00:18:53.713
that required students to wear uniforms
and utilized corporal punishment such as

405
00:18:53.713 --> 00:18:55.713
striking students hands with the ruler

406
00:18:55.713 --> 00:19:01.179
okay i had that as well but i didn't
become a multi-brilliant he said this

407
00:19:01.179 --> 00:19:03.179
experience instilled a

408
00:19:03.179 --> 00:19:08.005
distaste for uniformity and regimentation
and later reflected in his support

409
00:19:08.005 --> 00:19:10.005
individualism okay

410
00:19:10.005 --> 00:19:14.931
this is fascinating he can't be because he
was born in germany yeah yeah and you can

411
00:19:14.931 --> 00:19:14.990
mask by the

412
00:19:14.990 --> 00:19:19.572
way but i mean if you're looking at you
know again why are they doing this and

413
00:19:19.572 --> 00:19:19.752
this is

414
00:19:19.752 --> 00:19:21.993
again conspiratorial okay but

415
00:19:22.653 --> 00:19:29.515
please follow me okay i'm going really far
out you're going head down on this one viv

416
00:19:29.515 --> 00:19:31.515
okay

417
00:19:31.515 --> 00:19:38.017
what is the one thing that either teal and
the inner mask that everybody else seems

418
00:19:38.017 --> 00:19:40.017
to believe in silicon valley at the moment
it's ai yeah but

419
00:19:40.017 --> 00:19:43.479
we are entering maybe the next five to ten
years where ai is going to disrupt

420
00:19:43.479 --> 00:19:45.479
everything okay

421
00:19:45.479 --> 00:19:50.434
And if you basically, or in the case of
Elon Musk, it's space travel, or in the

422
00:19:50.434 --> 00:19:52.434
case of Elon Musk, it is driverless
vehicles.

423
00:19:52.434 --> 00:19:54.434
Okay.

424
00:19:54.434 --> 00:19:56.456
And if you basically are going to have,
and Elon Musk is in his 50s,

425
00:19:56.456 --> 00:19:59.618
he has maybe 10 to 15 years in his mind of
productive life left.

426
00:20:00.518 --> 00:20:06.941
If he is able to control or have strong
influence about things like the EPA, about

427
00:20:06.941 --> 00:20:08.941
the SEC,

428
00:20:08.941 --> 00:20:12.143
about, you know, all these little
regulatory bodies, which, by the way, I

429
00:20:12.143 --> 00:20:14.143
don't think Trump cares about at all.

430
00:20:14.143 --> 00:20:17.926
I don't think Trump would give a damn
about whether or not you changed the water

431
00:20:17.926 --> 00:20:19.926
regulations at SpaceX or not.

432
00:20:19.926 --> 00:20:21.926
But that's a big deal to Elon Musk.

433
00:20:21.926 --> 00:20:22.929
I don't think he'd care about whether or
not, you know, where chips come from or

434
00:20:22.929 --> 00:20:23.329
not.

435
00:20:23.329 --> 00:20:24.790
But it matters to Peter Thiel.

436
00:20:25.410 --> 00:20:31.914
I think these guys saw a point in history
in which we are going to enter a period of

437
00:20:31.914 --> 00:20:33.914
extra innovation, extra, you know,

438
00:20:33.914 --> 00:20:35.914
uncertainty.

439
00:20:35.914 --> 00:20:40.159
And that if you basically controlled not
just the company, but also the levers of

440
00:20:40.159 --> 00:20:42.159
government around it, you could come out
of this particular event with,

441
00:20:42.159 --> 00:20:44.159
you know, spectacular power and money.

442
00:20:44.159 --> 00:20:46.801
And I think that is the reasoning that
you're seeing the Silicon Valley guys

443
00:20:46.801 --> 00:20:48.801
enter.

444
00:20:48.801 --> 00:20:53.503
As Chukwulu said, this thing at the
moment, there's a movement in Silicon

445
00:20:53.503 --> 00:20:55.503
Valley called effective accelerationism
that

446
00:20:55.503 --> 00:20:56.084
wants to get technology moving as fast as
possible.

447
00:20:57.144 --> 00:21:00.685
Also, maybe it has to do with the fact
that people are getting older and they're

448
00:21:00.685 --> 00:21:02.685
thinking mortality comes around.

449
00:21:02.685 --> 00:21:04.466
And before you say I'm going to work this
tutorial, have you ever heard of a blood

450
00:21:04.466 --> 00:21:04.766
boy?

451
00:21:05.086 --> 00:21:05.786
No.

452
00:21:06.306 --> 00:21:08.167
Why do you do it, Nats?

453
00:21:08.167 --> 00:21:09.367
I know exactly what he does, but no.

454
00:21:10.048 --> 00:21:10.848
Oh, OK.

455
00:21:13.500 --> 00:21:14.801
I'm not joking about this, right?

456
00:21:15.161 --> 00:21:16.602
This is not crazy good at theories, right?

457
00:21:17.042 --> 00:21:18.223
You know, okay?

458
00:21:19.143 --> 00:21:21.965
It ejects himself with the blood of young
people a little longer.

459
00:21:22.065 --> 00:21:22.765
You're kidding, no.

460
00:21:22.765 --> 00:21:23.726
No, I'm not joking.

461
00:21:23.726 --> 00:21:24.746
You're making me worried now.

462
00:21:24.886 --> 00:21:25.586
Seriously.

463
00:21:25.586 --> 00:21:25.967
Google it, okay?

464
00:21:26.167 --> 00:21:30.189
So you see people like this, they're
getting older,

465
00:21:30.269 --> 00:21:33.751
they're getting to a point at which they
are worrying about mortality and whatnot,

466
00:21:34.192 --> 00:21:39.214
and they see a future in which they do
medical science, whatever.

467
00:21:39.434 --> 00:21:40.134
It could be that.

468
00:21:40.134 --> 00:21:42.176
It could be just the fact they want money
and power, but...

469
00:21:42.712 --> 00:21:46.713
These guys have spotted a point in history
in which technology is changing, the world

470
00:21:46.713 --> 00:21:48.713
is changing,

471
00:21:48.713 --> 00:21:53.135
and if you can get yourself a very strong
influence in the US government, okay, at

472
00:21:53.135 --> 00:21:55.135
this point in time,

473
00:21:55.135 --> 00:21:59.317
you basically could control the most
powerful technology in the world as it's

474
00:21:59.317 --> 00:21:59.517
created.

475
00:21:59.697 --> 00:22:01.998
And that, I think, is what is pushing
these guys at the moment.

476
00:22:02.118 --> 00:22:05.259
You see what I've done?

477
00:22:05.479 --> 00:22:06.359
Let's just stop this now.

478
00:22:06.799 --> 00:22:08.440
I really wish I hadn't mentioned J.D.

479
00:22:08.560 --> 00:22:09.260
Vance.

480
00:22:11.442 --> 00:22:12.323
I'm not joking.

481
00:22:12.323 --> 00:22:13.824
Everything I've said, you can Google and
look up.

482
00:22:14.164 --> 00:22:15.465
It sounds crazy.

483
00:22:15.465 --> 00:22:17.447
Okay.

484
00:22:17.487 --> 00:22:18.187
Right.

485
00:22:18.328 --> 00:22:19.189
Calm down, everybody.

486
00:22:19.209 --> 00:22:20.270
You're beyond Trump.

487
00:22:20.390 --> 00:22:21.290
That I can assure you.

488
00:22:21.290 --> 00:22:21.990
No, no.

489
00:22:22.191 --> 00:22:22.891
You're beyond Trump.

490
00:22:22.891 --> 00:22:23.953
Trump is not the person driving this.

491
00:22:23.973 --> 00:22:25.994
Trump would not have an understanding as
to why.

492
00:22:26.355 --> 00:22:30.899
They'll come to him and ask him to do
things, and he will be concerned about

493
00:22:30.899 --> 00:22:32.899
Israel-Gaza.

494
00:22:32.899 --> 00:22:34.899
He'll be concerned about Ukraine.

495
00:22:34.899 --> 00:22:36.904
He won't understand why this particular
regulation about this particular kind of

496
00:22:36.904 --> 00:22:38.904
nuclear power plant.

497
00:22:38.904 --> 00:22:40.466
or the particular relation about, you
know, chips and so on, matter.

498
00:22:41.607 --> 00:22:44.009
But Musk and

499
00:22:44.769 --> 00:22:49.012
Thiel and those guys will know that these
small changes will give them a huge amount

500
00:22:49.012 --> 00:22:49.192
of power.

501
00:22:49.693 --> 00:22:51.294
And that is what is going to happen in the
next couple of years.

502
00:22:51.314 --> 00:22:56.858
And mark my words, Tesla, Palantir are
going to benefit from the Trump presidency

503
00:22:56.858 --> 00:22:58.858
like you would not believe.

504
00:22:58.858 --> 00:23:01.801
Talking about benefiting from the Trump
presidency, a gentleman last night read

505
00:23:01.801 --> 00:23:03.801
about this time.

506
00:23:03.801 --> 00:23:05.704
I looked at my screen and I saw Tesla was
up 15.6%.

507
00:23:06.024 --> 00:23:06.784
or something like that.

508
00:23:06.824 --> 00:23:08.025
David, over to you on this one.

509
00:23:08.025 --> 00:23:14.426
I know you're not a fan of Musk, nor am I,
but everyone seems to think that the

510
00:23:14.426 --> 00:23:16.426
reason Musk is in the family photo,

511
00:23:16.426 --> 00:23:19.948
for goodness sake, holding a child, is
that he's going to be given benefits

512
00:23:19.948 --> 00:23:21.948
galore, whether it be SpaceX,

513
00:23:21.948 --> 00:23:22.028
whether it be electric vehicles.

514
00:23:22.248 --> 00:23:22.948
I don't know.

515
00:23:22.948 --> 00:23:23.609
Yeah, exactly.

516
00:23:24.529 --> 00:23:25.809
You know, what is he wanted for?

517
00:23:27.270 --> 00:23:28.670
What's a driving force?

518
00:23:28.670 --> 00:23:30.411
You know, why does he want it?

519
00:23:30.631 --> 00:23:32.611
Does he require that much attention?

520
00:23:33.031 --> 00:23:34.952
You know, what is it that he wants to do?

521
00:23:35.544 --> 00:23:41.968
You know, why does he want to cozy up to
Trump and be part of this inner circle to

522
00:23:41.968 --> 00:23:43.968
run America?

523
00:23:43.968 --> 00:23:45.968
I mean, you know, I can't understand it.

524
00:23:45.968 --> 00:23:47.968
He's running a business.

525
00:23:47.968 --> 00:23:49.968
He's got enough on his plate.

526
00:23:49.968 --> 00:23:51.968
Make those cars better.

527
00:23:51.968 --> 00:23:53.968
Sell them.

528
00:23:53.968 --> 00:23:55.968
He's got SpaceX, et cetera.

529
00:23:55.968 --> 00:23:57.968
Why involve yourself in politics?

530
00:23:57.968 --> 00:23:59.968
That worries the hell out of me.

531
00:23:59.968 --> 00:24:01.968
Because he's a deeply insecure person and
needs constant affirmation.

532
00:24:01.968 --> 00:24:03.968
It's very simple.

533
00:24:03.968 --> 00:24:05.968
It's a classic mail-over compensation.

534
00:24:05.968 --> 00:24:07.968
I suppose this is all part of it.

535
00:24:07.968 --> 00:24:10.883
of this inner core that Trump's going to
put together, which is, I think,

536
00:24:10.883 --> 00:24:12.883
incredibly worrying about, you know,

537
00:24:12.883 --> 00:24:15.124
the people that he's actually going to
choose to run government and what their

538
00:24:15.124 --> 00:24:17.124
motivation is.

539
00:24:17.124 --> 00:24:19.124
They're playing him.

540
00:24:19.124 --> 00:24:22.087
I've always, you know, and listening to
Viv, and for not a second am I going to,

541
00:24:23.708 --> 00:24:26.029
you know, contradict him or disagree with
him.

542
00:24:26.429 --> 00:24:32.171
But what concerns me is that where you
have these characters in the background,

543
00:24:32.171 --> 00:24:34.171
you know, for me,

544
00:24:34.171 --> 00:24:36.171
government is government.

545
00:24:36.171 --> 00:24:39.204
They're the people who must make sure that
the infrastructure is there so that

546
00:24:39.204 --> 00:24:41.204
businesses

547
00:24:41.204 --> 00:24:45.568
can grow, or that if you come in and build
a factory that there's going to be

548
00:24:45.568 --> 00:24:47.568
electricity there,

549
00:24:47.568 --> 00:24:48.790
water there, you're in the right area,
labor, etc.

550
00:24:49.090 --> 00:24:56.015
They're civil servants or those kind of
people that are there who aren't ambitious

551
00:24:56.015 --> 00:24:58.015
in terms

552
00:24:58.015 --> 00:24:59.677
of, not capitalistically ambitious.

553
00:25:00.017 --> 00:25:02.079
They don't want to make huge amounts of
money.

554
00:25:02.159 --> 00:25:03.520
They want to serve their country.

555
00:25:03.780 --> 00:25:08.942
You know, you get them in the military,
you get them in all over, people who

556
00:25:08.942 --> 00:25:10.942
become mayors,

557
00:25:10.942 --> 00:25:12.484
the people who become governors and so on.

558
00:25:13.084 --> 00:25:14.785
But this sounds completely different.

559
00:25:14.885 --> 00:25:17.106
I mean, this just sounds absolutely awful,

560
00:25:17.466 --> 00:25:22.028
that you want to get into the inner core
just so you can increase your power base.

561
00:25:23.928 --> 00:25:25.609
Anyway, it's happened.

562
00:25:25.669 --> 00:25:27.110
It's all settling down a little bit.

563
00:25:27.150 --> 00:25:30.711
I mean, we'll see what unfolds over the
next three months, six months, four years.

564
00:25:31.151 --> 00:25:33.093
The good news, though, What's the good
news?

565
00:25:33.093 --> 00:25:33.793
It's really good.

566
00:25:34.255 --> 00:25:35.959
The markets are just screaming higher.

567
00:25:36.800 --> 00:25:38.864
And that's kind of given me some kind of
relief.

568
00:25:39.566 --> 00:25:40.307
I must say.

569
00:25:40.307 --> 00:25:41.690
It's kind of eased the pain.

570
00:25:44.227 --> 00:25:50.931
you know so from that point we have to
talk about a little bit about the jsc

571
00:25:50.931 --> 00:25:52.931
companies anglo gold ashanti came up with
an update in the share price

572
00:25:52.931 --> 00:25:57.615
touring world after the resources stocks
getting absolutely slaughtered yesterday

573
00:25:57.615 --> 00:25:59.615
there's been a bit of a bounce back today

574
00:25:59.615 --> 00:26:04.819
but david trueworth's i don't know if you
had a chance to see it they always come

575
00:26:04.819 --> 00:26:06.819
out late with their updates and their
results but i think the growth in revenue

576
00:26:06.819 --> 00:26:08.819
of 2.8

577
00:26:08.819 --> 00:26:09.362
percent you and you're really disappointed
because if inflation is whatever it is

578
00:26:09.362 --> 00:26:11.362
four percent

579
00:26:11.362 --> 00:26:13.563
and your revenue is only up 2.8%,
something's going wrong there.

580
00:26:14.543 --> 00:26:18.965
Well, the economy is going wrong, which
they point out.

581
00:26:19.005 --> 00:26:23.826
They say despite all the optimism in the
background about the government and

582
00:26:23.826 --> 00:26:25.826
national unity,

583
00:26:25.826 --> 00:26:27.867
it hasn't translated into anything
materialistic,

584
00:26:28.227 --> 00:26:31.348
material for them to build a business on.

585
00:26:31.688 --> 00:26:35.029
So consumer demand is still very low.

586
00:26:35.709 --> 00:26:38.250
In the UK, the same kind of thing is
happening with their...

587
00:26:39.530 --> 00:26:42.052
their investment, their office, you know,
which sells shoes.

588
00:26:43.393 --> 00:26:47.415
So I think it's just a reflection of, hey,
nothing's happening.

589
00:26:47.495 --> 00:26:51.597
You know, we're all partying and we all
think things are going to be better,

590
00:26:51.637 --> 00:26:55.339
but nothing's really there for us to get a
grip of.

591
00:26:55.359 --> 00:26:58.841
And I think that's going to come through
as well in a lot of results.

592
00:26:58.961 --> 00:27:05.264
You know, I don't think it's whatever's
happened is translated into optimism is

593
00:27:05.264 --> 00:27:07.264
there and

594
00:27:07.264 --> 00:27:07.946
people feel better, but I don't think it's
translated into.

595
00:27:08.538 --> 00:27:15.523
money being spent on anything in any form
in that you know we can talk about

596
00:27:15.523 --> 00:27:17.523
electricity improving and so on but i

597
00:27:17.523 --> 00:27:21.867
think read that that's why i'm saying to
you lindsey always read results you know

598
00:27:21.867 --> 00:27:23.867
you get a true reflection of what's
happening on the ground

599
00:27:23.867 --> 00:27:29.552
phil do you ever think when you talk about
it so expansively and enthusiastically and

600
00:27:29.552 --> 00:27:31.552
you keep on kept on saying that it could
be

601
00:27:31.552 --> 00:27:36.277
conspiratorial but obviously there's some
truth to it do you ever think that when

602
00:27:36.277 --> 00:27:38.277
you look at these characters the musks and
the

603
00:27:38.277 --> 00:27:39.947
teals and the Bezos's of this world.

604
00:27:39.967 --> 00:27:45.590
Do you often say, do you know what, I'm
going to focus completely on America and

605
00:27:45.590 --> 00:27:47.590
forget about

606
00:27:47.590 --> 00:27:51.833
South Africa apart from paying it some
cursory interest for clients that want to

607
00:27:51.833 --> 00:27:52.013
be in it.

608
00:27:52.013 --> 00:27:58.357
Do you think that South Africa is being
shunted aside and you have to focus on

609
00:27:58.357 --> 00:27:58.477
where the

610
00:27:58.497 --> 00:28:00.078
action is at, as they say?

611
00:28:00.078 --> 00:28:03.980
I don't think South Africa will be shunted
aside for a couple reasons.

612
00:28:04.100 --> 00:28:05.421
Firstly, we remember the BRICS, right?

613
00:28:06.001 --> 00:28:10.824
And I think we, again, this is on the left
field, but look at us on the map.

614
00:28:11.524 --> 00:28:18.028
Okay, if you are entering a period of
global instability, you definitely want to

615
00:28:18.028 --> 00:28:20.028
be friendly with the country at the bottom
of Africa.

616
00:28:20.028 --> 00:28:20.330
You can keep running.

617
00:28:21.730 --> 00:28:27.594
Yeah, because you're basically able to cut
off the Atlantic and the Indian Oceans, if

618
00:28:27.594 --> 00:28:27.653
you think about it.

619
00:28:27.653 --> 00:28:30.035
Now, let me tell you something, Viv.

620
00:28:31.016 --> 00:28:34.698
There used to be, there was a movie, which
was one of these horror movies.

621
00:28:35.154 --> 00:28:41.978
probably in the 50s and 60s which i can't
which was that there was a nuclear bomb

622
00:28:41.978 --> 00:28:43.978
left and the fallout

623
00:28:43.978 --> 00:28:48.842
started to come and the only safe place
was down in cape town and everybody fled

624
00:28:48.842 --> 00:28:50.842
down to the west you know down to the
southern

625
00:28:50.842 --> 00:28:52.164
cape so so

626
00:28:52.544 --> 00:28:59.068
they've already made the movie of your
views yeah i think that it breaks as well

627
00:28:59.068 --> 00:29:01.068
as the future in south africa geographic

628
00:29:01.068 --> 00:29:02.230
especially if something happens in the
middle east that closes through at canal

629
00:29:02.730 --> 00:29:09.715
if you're going to ship stuff from china
to europe around the cape that's an

630
00:29:09.715 --> 00:29:11.715
important thing i think south africa is
important from that point

631
00:29:11.715 --> 00:29:16.680
of view but i do think if you're looking
at it internationally i think you are

632
00:29:16.680 --> 00:29:18.680
probably this is my view a global a
geopolitical

633
00:29:18.680 --> 00:29:20.964
view from an amateur but i think we're
going to see the russia uh situation shut

634
00:29:20.984 --> 00:29:27.909
down very quickly okay uh because i think
trump people are right about this is going

635
00:29:27.909 --> 00:29:29.909
to give russia what it wants uh

636
00:29:29.909 --> 00:29:32.511
for the tourist the uh The deal is going
to be Russia gets what's left of the

637
00:29:32.511 --> 00:29:32.751
Ukraine,

638
00:29:32.811 --> 00:29:35.833
but Russia kind of stays neutral or moves
away from China.

639
00:29:37.294 --> 00:29:38.715
And I think that's the deal he's going to
do there.

640
00:29:38.935 --> 00:29:39.875
What about Zelensky?

641
00:29:40.255 --> 00:29:42.117
You haven't mentioned the word Zelensky.

642
00:29:42.137 --> 00:29:44.798
Do you honestly think that the Ukrainian
people are going to say,

643
00:29:45.098 --> 00:29:51.502
you illegally invaded our country and
you've illegally occupied and taken these

644
00:29:51.502 --> 00:29:53.502
particular territories,

645
00:29:53.502 --> 00:29:55.024
you can have them and we'll go quietly?

646
00:29:55.344 --> 00:29:57.465
I mean, it's an affront to their
sovereignty.

647
00:29:57.985 --> 00:29:58.946
I mean, unfortunately.

648
00:29:59.402 --> 00:30:01.644
You know, a front doesn't match with
weaponry.

649
00:30:02.064 --> 00:30:02.764
And without the U.S.

650
00:30:02.824 --> 00:30:07.027
weaponry, Europe, unfortunately, for, you
know, maybe they're starting up right now,

651
00:30:07.027 --> 00:30:11.790
but it's too late for them to do anything
really effective against Russia.

652
00:30:12.291 --> 00:30:18.795
So unless they're going to step up and do
that, you know, it's going to be a case of

653
00:30:18.795 --> 00:30:20.795
Trump coming in, saying, you know,

654
00:30:20.795 --> 00:30:21.237
Russia, make a deal with Russia.

655
00:30:21.617 --> 00:30:23.118
It may not even have to be the whole of
Ukraine.

656
00:30:23.578 --> 00:30:25.980
It could just be give back some of the
territory you've taken.

657
00:30:25.980 --> 00:30:28.542
But I think the main deal he's going to
make is going to be around sanctions.

658
00:30:28.946 --> 00:30:31.253
He's going to say, we'll put you back into
the fractional system.

659
00:30:31.914 --> 00:30:34.542
We'll put you back into the, you'll be
able to sell your oil again.

660
00:30:35.484 --> 00:30:36.487
The sanctions get reduced.

661
00:30:38.226 --> 00:30:43.389
It may be a case that he has to give back
parts of Ukraine to make it work,

662
00:30:43.549 --> 00:30:46.010
to show that he's giving up part of the
Ukraine, etc.

663
00:30:46.191 --> 00:30:48.552
And the Ukraine doesn't become part of
NATO.

664
00:30:49.512 --> 00:30:53.975
I think that's all going to be to
basically split China and Russia up.

665
00:30:54.735 --> 00:30:58.157
And I think that is the geopolitical thing
that's going to happen.

666
00:30:59.338 --> 00:31:06.022
I do also think that the Russia-Iran
connection is probably going to also be

667
00:31:06.022 --> 00:31:08.022
cut as well as part of that deal.

668
00:31:08.022 --> 00:31:08.612
because with Russia and Iran, they do a
lot of stuff together.

669
00:31:09.172 --> 00:31:14.216
The Iranian drones are being used in
Russia to the Shahid drones in Russia.

670
00:31:14.256 --> 00:31:15.397
I think that's also going to be cut off.

671
00:31:15.397 --> 00:31:16.217
It's going to give Russia the deal.

672
00:31:17.298 --> 00:31:20.220
Neutral on our side will get you back into
the system,

673
00:31:20.720 --> 00:31:24.663
but you have to cut off or basically be
more cold towards China and towards Iran.

674
00:31:24.663 --> 00:31:26.485
And I think that's a deal they might take.

675
00:31:27.365 --> 00:31:33.670
Interesting if that happens, Viv, because
apparently, according to the New York

676
00:31:33.670 --> 00:31:35.670
Times, Elon Musk has been chatting quite
frequently.

677
00:31:35.670 --> 00:31:39.913
with our pal Vlad the Destroyer, Vladimir
Putin, who's in Sochi at the moment at

678
00:31:39.913 --> 00:31:41.913
some investment conference.

679
00:31:41.913 --> 00:31:45.295
He said to, according to the New York
Times, but again, it could be a lot of

680
00:31:45.295 --> 00:31:47.295
fake news, he said,

681
00:31:47.295 --> 00:31:50.017
don't give Taiwan Starlink, and this was
during one of their typhoons, because

682
00:31:51.378 --> 00:31:56.700
I don't want President Xi to be annoyed
about it, and I've got this alliance with

683
00:31:56.700 --> 00:31:57.140
him,

684
00:31:57.140 --> 00:32:01.442
so if you could please refrain from
initiating Starlink in Taiwan.

685
00:32:01.762 --> 00:32:03.482
That's another very disturbing thing.

686
00:32:03.743 --> 00:32:09.544
You've got Musk in the White House,
potentially, or having a desk in the White

687
00:32:09.544 --> 00:32:11.544
House, and him talking about Putin.

688
00:32:11.544 --> 00:32:13.544
I don't understand it.

689
00:32:13.544 --> 00:32:14.025
Musk will not have a desk.

690
00:32:14.025 --> 00:32:19.067
He must not have an official position in
the White House, because even the US has

691
00:32:19.067 --> 00:32:21.067
things about conflicts of interest.

692
00:32:21.067 --> 00:32:23.067
He'll be much more of an advisor.

693
00:32:23.067 --> 00:32:23.448
So, because...

694
00:32:23.508 --> 00:32:26.009
It was a figurative term, but I know what
you mean.

695
00:32:26.089 --> 00:32:26.969
Yes, yeah.

696
00:32:26.969 --> 00:32:27.669
Okay.

697
00:32:27.669 --> 00:32:29.610
So, he'll be much more on things.

698
00:32:30.090 --> 00:32:31.530
There'll be a degree of separation here.

699
00:32:32.011 --> 00:32:35.051
Because an important thing, people like
the New York Times mentioned the fact that

700
00:32:35.051 --> 00:32:37.051
he must want it to.

701
00:32:37.051 --> 00:32:40.053
He could get a position in the White House
and then sell his assets in Tesla and

702
00:32:40.053 --> 00:32:42.053
SpaceX or whatever tax-free.

703
00:32:42.053 --> 00:32:42.653
Because that's been a deal he's done in
the past.

704
00:32:42.653 --> 00:32:44.334
You know what?

705
00:32:44.634 --> 00:32:48.795
Even after tax, even if he spent a billion
a day, he's not going to run out of money.

706
00:32:48.795 --> 00:32:49.495
You know, that's bad.

707
00:32:49.495 --> 00:32:54.917
I mean, it's insane.

708
00:32:55.817 --> 00:32:58.038
If you were concerned about money, you
would not do what Elon Musk is doing.

709
00:32:58.078 --> 00:32:59.718
Because, you know, it's...

710
00:33:00.818 --> 00:33:02.959
you have to be broken as a person to get
that rich.

711
00:33:03.119 --> 00:33:03.819
That's my belief.

712
00:33:04.119 --> 00:33:10.141
If you have a billion dollars, if you have
a hundred billion dollars, and you're

713
00:33:10.141 --> 00:33:12.141
working for a living, you're broken as a
person.

714
00:33:12.141 --> 00:33:14.141
You have to find something better to do.

715
00:33:14.141 --> 00:33:17.223
But anyway, I think that is going to be a
real shakeup in the next, say, six months

716
00:33:17.223 --> 00:33:17.503
or so.

717
00:33:17.503 --> 00:33:21.404
In Ukraine, Russia, I think that's also,

718
00:33:22.484 --> 00:33:29.286
the Chinese are also very scared about
this because the stimulus packages the

719
00:33:29.286 --> 00:33:31.286
Chinese were doing were on the idea that,
you know, that Trump wasn't going to win.

720
00:33:31.286 --> 00:33:34.171
But if Trump wants to do it, those
stimulus packages are going to be much,

721
00:33:34.171 --> 00:33:36.171
much larger because they're going to have
a huge backlash.

722
00:33:36.171 --> 00:33:38.171
And here's the other thing.

723
00:33:38.171 --> 00:33:40.653
Speaking of the UK, I saw a study that
showed that if Trump's tariff packages

724
00:33:40.653 --> 00:33:42.653
come into play,

725
00:33:42.653 --> 00:33:43.974
the effect of the UK economy will be worse
than Brexit.

726
00:33:44.374 --> 00:33:48.895
So Keir Starmer is already, you know, I've
just said messages across the country.

727
00:33:49.095 --> 00:33:50.416
He was the first call, actually.

728
00:33:51.016 --> 00:33:52.236
Yeah, exactly.

729
00:33:52.276 --> 00:33:54.217
But he wasn't the handhold.

730
00:33:54.217 --> 00:33:56.117
Anyway, yeah.

731
00:33:56.137 --> 00:33:57.438
And you see BW share price.

732
00:33:58.498 --> 00:33:59.198
OK.

733
00:33:59.614 --> 00:34:06.597
on the day of the Trump announcement, he
went down like, I think, you know, 5% or

734
00:34:06.597 --> 00:34:08.597
something on the day.

735
00:34:08.597 --> 00:34:13.560
And I think the European carmakers,
European countries, because Trump is

736
00:34:13.560 --> 00:34:15.560
coming with this kind of thing up front,
big stick in hand,

737
00:34:15.560 --> 00:34:18.522
are going to try to make extra carefully,
you know, it is true, he's right about one

738
00:34:18.522 --> 00:34:18.962
thing.

739
00:34:18.962 --> 00:34:21.043
People think he's crazy and therefore they
are afraid of him.

740
00:34:21.143 --> 00:34:25.325
And they will be much more like, you know,
meanable to whatever he says than a normal

741
00:34:25.325 --> 00:34:25.505
person.

742
00:34:25.665 --> 00:34:27.766
And the European countries are not going
to be as...

743
00:34:28.346 --> 00:34:34.888
as tough against him as you think they
would be, considering they're like, you

744
00:34:34.888 --> 00:34:36.888
know, analytical things, because of this
tariffs that he's kind of wielding at his

745
00:34:36.888 --> 00:34:38.888
hands.

746
00:34:38.888 --> 00:34:39.629
On that VW note, Viv, they're closing down
two factories, which is the first time in

747
00:34:39.629 --> 00:34:39.709
the history.

748
00:34:39.889 --> 00:34:44.311
I mean, I don't know how old VW is, but
they're closing down two factories.

749
00:34:44.651 --> 00:34:48.352
And it's a really, it's a very big deal in
Germany.

750
00:34:48.352 --> 00:34:52.153
I mean, Germany's in turmoil politically
today because of the sacking of the

751
00:34:52.153 --> 00:34:52.273
finance

752
00:34:52.273 --> 00:34:55.734
minister and the coalition breaking up and
maybe a snap election next month.

753
00:34:55.754 --> 00:34:56.454
So as...

754
00:34:56.634 --> 00:34:58.035
The latest it will be is March.

755
00:34:58.075 --> 00:35:00.315
But Germany's in turmoil under Schultz.

756
00:35:00.475 --> 00:35:02.196
And anyway, do you know what?

757
00:35:03.777 --> 00:35:06.638
Viv, in particular, is on fire tonight and
has exhorted me.

758
00:35:06.638 --> 00:35:10.259
And I think David as well is going to have
to go for a lie down at the end of this.

759
00:35:10.639 --> 00:35:12.700
So let's have a look at some prices here.

760
00:35:12.820 --> 00:35:13.520
Dollar Rand is $17.31.

761
00:35:14.881 --> 00:35:18.822
That's a 1.4% move stronger for the Rand.

762
00:35:19.458 --> 00:35:21.739
British pound against the rand 22.50.

763
00:35:21.759 --> 00:35:24.661
Euro rand is 18.72.

764
00:35:24.661 --> 00:35:29.143
Euro dollar is 108.15, which is a euro
that has gained 0.6%

765
00:35:30.244 --> 00:35:34.246
after yesterday's post-election currency
movements.

766
00:35:34.306 --> 00:35:36.447
British pound won nearly 1.30.

767
00:35:36.447 --> 00:35:38.188
I'm going to call it 1.30.

768
00:35:38.188 --> 00:35:43.531
Gold price, having had a horrible day
yesterday, is just below 2,700,

769
00:35:43.591 --> 00:35:45.532
which is up nearly $30 on the day.

770
00:35:46.052 --> 00:35:48.173
Platinum has recovered by 1.25% to $9.98.

771
00:35:49.534 --> 00:35:55.436
And palladium has barely changed at
$10.37, the all-important oil price,

772
00:35:56.017 --> 00:36:01.039
which hasn't really done much with Trump.

773
00:36:01.179 --> 00:36:03.880
It's down two-thirds of a percent for
Brent crude, $74.43.

774
00:36:05.701 --> 00:36:10.483
And West Texas crude, $71.17, which is
down 0.7 percent.

775
00:36:10.543 --> 00:36:12.403
Natural gas down two and three quarters.

776
00:36:13.264 --> 00:36:16.465
Copper having been down 4 percent
yesterday, up 4 percent today.

777
00:36:17.545 --> 00:36:18.626
And, yeah.

778
00:36:18.826 --> 00:36:25.652
what else not much s&p 500 can you believe
it you know during the financial crisis

779
00:36:25.652 --> 00:36:30.636
2007 2008 the s p went to 666

780
00:36:30.976 --> 00:36:37.882
666 it's now nearly six thousand five
thousand nine hundred and eighty eight

781
00:36:37.922 --> 00:36:44.788
for the december futures on the s p what
an astonishing recovery it just shows you

782
00:36:44.788 --> 00:36:46.788
just got to buy the dips constantly

783
00:36:46.788 --> 00:36:49.804
on these things the us 10-year treasury
bond yield It's recovered its sanity a

784
00:36:49.804 --> 00:36:49.964
little bit,

785
00:36:49.964 --> 00:36:55.369
but with the Trump expansionary talk, the
bond yields rose yesterday.

786
00:36:55.549 --> 00:36:58.371
Fear of inflation now 4.36 percent.

787
00:36:58.751 --> 00:37:02.234
The South African 10 year bond yield 9.40
percent.

788
00:37:02.735 --> 00:37:04.976
And Bitcoin also a Trump factor there.

789
00:37:05.337 --> 00:37:09.300
I think this is record high, 75,700 and
change.

790
00:37:10.161 --> 00:37:10.861
Something like that.

791
00:37:11.482 --> 00:37:12.182
It could be.

792
00:37:12.603 --> 00:37:14.224
David, please give us the.

793
00:37:14.524 --> 00:37:15.224
Oh, no, no.

794
00:37:15.224 --> 00:37:15.965
Let me give you some.

795
00:37:16.706 --> 00:37:17.767
Some shares on the JSC.

796
00:37:18.007 --> 00:37:21.310
After all, this is a mainly South African
podcast.

797
00:37:21.850 --> 00:37:25.614
I have got on the upside, Sappy up 9%.

798
00:37:25.654 --> 00:37:26.354
Look at that.

799
00:37:26.534 --> 00:37:28.976
Implats bouncing back after yesterday's
mauling.

800
00:37:29.637 --> 00:37:30.738
5.8% higher.

801
00:37:30.758 --> 00:37:34.341
Anglo-Golda Shanty after its numbers, 5.3%
to the good.

802
00:37:34.701 --> 00:37:37.283
And Tungela, 4.25% higher.

803
00:37:37.283 --> 00:37:40.546
Trueworths, we spoke about that, 6.1%
weaker.

804
00:37:40.606 --> 00:37:42.928
TFG, another retail.

805
00:37:42.968 --> 00:37:43.969
Equalums, yeah.

806
00:37:44.189 --> 00:37:44.889
Yeah, exactly.

807
00:37:45.238 --> 00:37:51.603
Yeah, TFG down 3.5%, Mr Price following
suit down 2.8%, Adcock Ingram down 2.6%,

808
00:37:51.643 --> 00:37:53.724
and Vodacom down 2.1%.

809
00:37:53.724 --> 00:37:55.566
David, any others that you picked up?

810
00:37:55.646 --> 00:37:57.227
Well, a happy story.

811
00:37:57.287 --> 00:37:58.988
They published their quarterly report.

812
00:37:58.988 --> 00:38:05.272
So for the fourth quarter, there was a
vast improvement, but they also published

813
00:38:05.272 --> 00:38:07.272
the annual results, which were absolutely
awful.

814
00:38:07.272 --> 00:38:10.136
But the market responded to a turnaround
in the fourth quarter, and that's why

815
00:38:10.136 --> 00:38:10.236
they're up.

816
00:38:10.456 --> 00:38:12.798
You know, this is notoriously difficult to
read.

817
00:38:13.574 --> 00:38:14.575
the paper industry.

818
00:38:14.755 --> 00:38:16.777
It's from one quarter to the other.

819
00:38:16.957 --> 00:38:22.061
I think the only thing that disturbs me in
the results is that their debt is on

820
00:38:22.061 --> 00:38:24.061
climbing once more.

821
00:38:24.061 --> 00:38:26.061
It might be seasonal.

822
00:38:26.061 --> 00:38:27.165
But anyway, it's a company I just watch
out of interest, never invest in it.

823
00:38:27.646 --> 00:38:29.707
But the other one is that, you know, you
mentioned Mr.

824
00:38:29.767 --> 00:38:31.529
Price, Fashini and Fuworth.

825
00:38:31.929 --> 00:38:38.134
I think both of those came down on the
back of what Fuworth showed, you know,

826
00:38:38.134 --> 00:38:40.134
that things aren't really picking up.

827
00:38:40.134 --> 00:38:42.134
Okay.

828
00:38:42.134 --> 00:38:42.718
It's one day up, one day down for Platinum
and the miners.

829
00:38:43.522 --> 00:38:44.222
All over the place.

830
00:38:44.623 --> 00:38:49.866
David, I'll stay with you because I want
you to give us the closing JSC indices and

831
00:38:49.866 --> 00:38:51.866
the value traded, please.

832
00:38:51.866 --> 00:38:55.309
Value traded, again, just before we got on
there,

833
00:38:55.389 --> 00:38:57.770
the values traded were around about $12
billion.

834
00:38:58.311 --> 00:39:00.992
But after the auction, it's up to $21
billion.

835
00:39:01.052 --> 00:39:05.595
Just shows you all the balancing that
takes place in that closing auction.

836
00:39:05.595 --> 00:39:10.878
So $21 billion, NASPERS, First Rand, Anglo
Gold Process, the big traders.

837
00:39:11.438 --> 00:39:14.921
Just on the indices, all share up 0.78%.

838
00:39:14.941 --> 00:39:19.825
That's a bit of a recovery, driven up by a
big turnaround in the mining counters.

839
00:39:20.786 --> 00:39:25.770
Resource index up over 3%, with gold and
platinum shares leading the way up.

840
00:39:26.951 --> 00:39:29.152
Banks, yeah, the rest of the market pretty
flat.

841
00:39:30.654 --> 00:39:32.095
Banks up almost 1%.

842
00:39:32.115 --> 00:39:38.660
But then with the RAND improving, you had
AB InBev, British American Tobacco,

843
00:39:38.660 --> 00:39:40.660
NicePurse,

844
00:39:40.660 --> 00:39:40.702
all of those companies coming under
British... ...

845
00:39:41.002 --> 00:39:47.987
pressure on translation and so your
industrial index was down about a half a

846
00:39:47.987 --> 00:39:49.987
percent mainly on the back of

847
00:39:49.987 --> 00:39:54.832
those companies but overall a big
improvement from the trouble we had

848
00:39:54.832 --> 00:39:56.832
yesterday even some of the property stocks

849
00:39:56.832 --> 00:40:00.856
doing pretty well you and david just talk
for one minute i've quickly got to get a

850
00:40:00.856 --> 00:40:02.856
book which i want to

851
00:40:02.856 --> 00:40:04.278
read a couple of pages from uh for you so
just stay there and

852
00:40:04.319 --> 00:40:09.262
you'll hear my my chair screaming so yeah
you have a quick chat now hold on

853
00:40:10.404 --> 00:40:17.258
take me carry on seriously I'm going to
read this because if this is for you hold

854
00:40:17.258 --> 00:40:19.258
on go on

855
00:40:19.258 --> 00:40:20.634
talk away bye Yeah.

856
00:40:20.634 --> 00:40:26.319
David, when you mentioned Volkswagen, how
old it was, I thought you were making a

857
00:40:26.319 --> 00:40:28.319
joke about the Nazis.

858
00:40:28.319 --> 00:40:31.023
Because they didn't start Volkswagen back
in the day, did they?

859
00:40:31.223 --> 00:40:34.486
Oh, no, they, yeah.

860
00:40:34.486 --> 00:40:35.186
You know what happened?

861
00:40:35.907 --> 00:40:39.650
I think the world moved far from that.

862
00:40:39.971 --> 00:40:42.773
I mean, even if you look at Boss, you
know, Boss in the old days.

863
00:40:42.773 --> 00:40:43.473
Oh, you were Boss, yeah.

864
00:40:43.734 --> 00:40:44.434
Yeah, maybe.

865
00:40:44.434 --> 00:40:46.176
The uniforms, yeah.

866
00:40:48.277 --> 00:40:50.658
But I think Volkswagen was literally
started by the Nazis.

867
00:40:51.039 --> 00:40:51.919
Yeah, yeah.

868
00:40:51.919 --> 00:40:53.760
Well, it was the people's wagon.

869
00:40:54.100 --> 00:40:55.261
You know, the people's car.

870
00:40:55.261 --> 00:40:56.682
I know.

871
00:40:56.962 --> 00:40:59.023
There were a lot of motor vehicles.

872
00:40:59.563 --> 00:41:01.444
I think we've all had a Beetle, haven't
we?

873
00:41:01.444 --> 00:41:03.806
For a long period, I must tell you
something.

874
00:41:04.506 --> 00:41:10.450
After the war, the Jewish population, a
lot of Jews would not drive Mercedes or

875
00:41:10.450 --> 00:41:12.450
BMWs.

876
00:41:12.450 --> 00:41:14.450
Some people to their dying day.

877
00:41:14.450 --> 00:41:16.450
Yeah, yeah.

878
00:41:16.450 --> 00:41:18.450
It was...

879
00:41:18.450 --> 00:41:20.450
Yeah.

880
00:41:20.450 --> 00:41:21.634
because of the association, they wouldn't
touch German cars for a long time, you

881
00:41:21.634 --> 00:41:23.634
know, well into the 70s and 80s even.

882
00:41:24.055 --> 00:41:24.755
Okay.

883
00:41:24.755 --> 00:41:26.655
Now, Viv, off to your Peter Thiel.

884
00:41:27.095 --> 00:41:33.857
It wasn't a rant, but you were very
enthusiastic about it, and David actually

885
00:41:33.857 --> 00:41:35.857
prompted this by saying, what do you do at
night, Viv?

886
00:41:35.857 --> 00:41:35.998
You said that, David, didn't you?

887
00:41:35.998 --> 00:41:37.778
I did say that.

888
00:41:37.778 --> 00:41:38.579
Yes, you did say that.

889
00:41:39.039 --> 00:41:43.880
Now, what I want you to do, Viv, I'm sure
David will echo my sentiments, is take

890
00:41:43.880 --> 00:41:45.880
your young child.

891
00:41:45.880 --> 00:41:46.205
and read her a bit more.

892
00:41:46.265 --> 00:41:47.226
Is it a boy or a girl?

893
00:41:47.266 --> 00:41:47.966
I've forgotten.

894
00:41:49.588 --> 00:41:50.288
My daughter.

895
00:41:50.288 --> 00:41:50.948
Okay, your daughter.

896
00:41:51.209 --> 00:41:53.510
Okay, I want you to read her a book.

897
00:41:53.931 --> 00:41:56.172
I want you to get her a few books by Roger
Hargreaves.

898
00:41:56.512 --> 00:41:58.514
I've kept mine that I used to read my
children.

899
00:41:58.994 --> 00:42:00.455
Yeah, the Mr.

900
00:42:00.475 --> 00:42:02.156
Men books and Little Miss books.

901
00:42:02.617 --> 00:42:03.317
Little Miss Shy.

902
00:42:03.938 --> 00:42:07.260
First page of Little Miss Shy says, Little
Miss Shy just couldn't help it.

903
00:42:07.680 --> 00:42:08.681
Being shy, that is.

904
00:42:09.081 --> 00:42:10.882
She was terribly, desperately shy.

905
00:42:11.483 --> 00:42:12.884
She was so shy it hurt.

906
00:42:13.224 --> 00:42:15.025
which is what they call painfully shy.

907
00:42:15.745 --> 00:42:22.389
If at any time at all, anyone at all said
anything at all to her, she blushed like a

908
00:42:22.389 --> 00:42:22.429
beetroot.

909
00:42:23.009 --> 00:42:27.852
And she lived all alone in a little house,
quite a long way away from where you live.

910
00:42:28.172 --> 00:42:29.053
And so it goes on.

911
00:42:29.313 --> 00:42:32.294
I want you to get a little bit more
wholesome in the evenings, Viv.

912
00:42:33.995 --> 00:42:37.337
And stop all this conspiracy stuff.

913
00:42:37.357 --> 00:42:38.217
Read your daughter.

914
00:42:38.378 --> 00:42:39.078
Oblix.

915
00:42:39.078 --> 00:42:40.939
Oh, do you?

916
00:42:40.939 --> 00:42:41.639
Oh, okay.

917
00:42:41.639 --> 00:42:42.340
Just enjoy it.

918
00:42:43.084 --> 00:42:48.887
Yeah, because he has the pictures, you
know.

919
00:42:48.887 --> 00:42:49.587
She likes the dog.

920
00:42:49.587 --> 00:42:50.067
Dog gratics.

921
00:42:50.067 --> 00:42:50.468
Yeah.

922
00:42:50.468 --> 00:42:51.208
Okay, gentlemen, thank you very much.

923
00:42:51.228 --> 00:42:52.149
It was a really good chat.

924
00:42:52.189 --> 00:42:58.752
David Shapiro is from Sessom Securities in
Johannesburg and Viv Govender from Rennes,

925
00:42:58.752 --> 00:43:00.752
Swiss, in that same city.

926
00:43:00.752 --> 00:43:02.752
And that was the 5 o'clock shadow.

927
00:43:02.752 --> 00:43:07.957
The views and opinions expressed in these
podcasts are those of Lindsay Williams and

928
00:43:07.957 --> 00:43:09.957
various contributors and do not reflect
the policy,

929
00:43:09.957 --> 00:43:12.500
position or opinion of any other agency,
organisation, employer,

930
00:43:12.820 --> 00:43:16.662
or company associated with
StrictlyBusinessPodcast.com.

931
00:43:17.122 --> 00:43:24.086
Assumptions made on the analyses are not
reflective of the position of any other

932
00:43:24.086 --> 00:43:26.086
entity other than the speaker or the
author.

933
00:43:26.086 --> 00:43:30.269
And since we are critically thinking human
beings, these views are always subject to

934
00:43:30.269 --> 00:43:32.269
change, revision,

935
00:43:32.269 --> 00:43:32.410
and rethinking at any time.

936
00:43:32.731 --> 00:43:35.132
Please do not hold us to them in
perpetuity.
