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You're listening to Strictly Business
Podcast with Lindsay Williams.

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JSC has closed its doors for another day,
so it's time for the 5 o'clock shadow.

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And as always on a Thursday, I speak to
the double-headed dream team of David

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Shapiro from Sasser Insecurity,

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sometimes in Johannesburg, and Viv
Govender from Ransuisse, mostly in

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Johannesburg.

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And Viv, I'm going to start with you
because I was talking to somebody

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yesterday about a word

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that I haven't used for a long time called
stagflation.

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And there's a tiny sort of microcosm of a
hint of it today with inflation in the

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United States going up

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a little bit more than analysts projected,
i.e.

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3.3% for CPI year on year.

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And also some employment data, which
wasn't quite as good as expected.

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No chance of stagflation, of course, but
it sort of made the market think a bit.

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What do you think, Viv?

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Yeah, I mean, most definitely.

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I mean, we saw jobless claims go to about
258.

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thousand that's the people that are
claiming jobs you know jobless benefits

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and I think that is obviously you know
partly due to things

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like you know hurricanes and stuff not the
current one but in the previous one also

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was no quite important that there was a
Boeing strike

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was also affecting things so this was
about basically 30,000 more than the

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market minutes debating and in the CPI
number like you said he

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came in at 2.4 versus 2.3 expected but
this little down from 2.5 you know I mean

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so it's falling but not falling as fast as
the

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market would like So I do think it's a
case of, you know, the good news is not

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quite as good as the market would like,

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but it's not terribly bad as well.

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Once the hurricanes are over, I think
we'll have an extract is over.

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We probably will have, you know, jobless
things, a little more normality.

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And a point one miss on inflation is not a
huge deal, especially when you consider

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just how these things are often surveys of
things and so on.

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Yes, well, David Shapiro is there and he's
assessing the mood of inflation.

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He goes to, I think Vivi goes to Whole
Foods every single day and gets himself a.

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a lunchtime salad having gone through his
run in Central Park and getting a bagel

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and an orange juice and David sorry I'm
talking

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behind your back here what is what is

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the mood there what let's talk about
floods and inflation first of all and the

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general mood in where

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are you today Boston or New York?

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Boston now I've been in Boston for the
last week and uh it's quite intriguing to

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because we

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celebrated the Jewish New Year yes so
there were you

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Two big dinners that I attended with a lot
of expats who are doing very well here.

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In fact, I must comment on that.

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But, you know, the dinner time table, I
mean,

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the talk turns to politics and that
becomes heated.

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You know, that really becomes heated,
whether you're pro-Karmala or you're

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pro-Trump.

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And believe me, there still are Trump
supporters.

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Before we get on to that, I just want to
contextualize this.

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Was it because of the attitudes of the two
candidates towards...

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the Jewish people or Israel or was it just
generally?

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I think generally and also a big sway
towards Israel. There is that attitude.

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But, I mean, it depends where you are.

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In fact, I've gone to two different
lectures.

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And what intrigued me, and especially in
Boston,

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you have no idea the size of the community
here and the wealth of the community here.

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I'm talking the Jewish community.

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Yes.

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An enormously powerful voice, you know,
certainly here.

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I was taken aback by the size, you know,
both in New York and here.

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You know, we're a very small community in
South Africa, but their ability to raise

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money and to raise their voices,

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and they don't hide their faces, you know,
they don't hide behind masks, and they're

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openly supportive.

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So it's, I'm not taking, you know, I don't
want to.

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be drawn into the discussion, but I'm
saying it is a very much, you know,

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it does sway their politics in a big way.

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So you get the two, you know, you get, I'm
on the side of, I can't stand Trump.

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I mean, I cannot tolerate the man.

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We'll talk about that.

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Yeah.

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Yeah, we are.

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He was wearing a yarmulke at an October
the 7th memorial service or something.

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And I thought.

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You're such a hypocrite.

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But anyway, we'll talk about Trump later
on.

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Please go on.

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So, you know, from that point of view,
there's two different camps.

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You know, those who detest Trump,
regardless of Israel or not.

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They just cannot think of having him as a
president.

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But there are others that are very
supportive and believe that he's the right

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man.

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They don't like Kamala.

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That's where I'm getting to.

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It's outside of the Israeli question.

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And I think more important, they just find
her very, not spineless,

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but she hasn't really got the charisma.

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Even if you looked at a Michelle Obama,
even looked at a Hillary Clinton, and I'm

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talking about a possible woman president.

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I don't think she's anywhere in their
class.

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She doesn't come up to it.

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She's very sweet.

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She's pleasant.

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She's intelligent.

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But she's not a powerful politician.

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You know, I can't see her sitting around
the group of 20 or dominating the group of

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seven discussions and that.

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I don't think she's that strong.

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So I think that's where a lot of people
are kind of anti-Karmala.

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They might be anti-Trump as well, but
they're also anti-Karmala from that point

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of view.

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You know, they don't find her strong
enough, powerful or intelligent enough.

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OK, we'll talk about politics later.

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But before we go back to Viv, David.

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the mood of people and the because trump
keeps on going on about and again i said i

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wouldn't mention politics until later but
he

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keeps on going on about inflation they all
do but inflation's down i mean it's not

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it's down from where it is i mean you go
to

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whole foods as you do and

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it's okay it's it's up but inflation is
always up there's no way that you're ever

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going to get minus two percent like you do
in china

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it's always up but why do they keep on
harping on about this because it's old

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news it's not a story anymore No,

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it's not a story.

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I don't think it's a story in any way at
all.

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And again, I've come up, been here for
almost three weeks now.

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I've never heard people complaining about
prices.

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Yes, prices go up, but I think that's, you
know, that also depends on the weather.

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It depends on a whole lot of other factors
here.

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But it's, Lindsay, you know, I can't
explain.

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When you go to New York and you see the
throng of people, you know, and you see.

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The shops just absolutely overflowing, you
know, packed with people.

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Restaurants is always, you know, there's
never, there's no emptiness there.

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So I know it's, I think I discussed this
with you as well, I think last week as

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well.

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You know,

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New York is actually indicative of the
demographics of what America is

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becoming.

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Yes, and just to let Viv in on this one, I
said to David Viv,

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I keep on going on about New York and
Boston where David visits regularly,

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are not representative of the United
States of America.

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But in fact, if you go to New York and you
walk down the street,

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and after 10 minutes you've seen 10
different nationalities and creeds of

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people.

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So in fact, when you go to New York,
despite the fact it's a wealthy city and

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is very cosmopolitan,

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it sort of encapsulates what America is
all about.

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In other words, immigration.

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and integration just briefly would you
agree with that it's maybe what america is

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all about but it was it's not what the
election is all about because the

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election is going to be held in states
that haven't looked nothing like new york

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see that's the thing like new york and
california and you know they

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may be the bigger part of the economy they
may have more people uh you know they may

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do many things but they're not going to be
reflective of

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pennsylvania wisconsin you know michigan
you think of these places if you travel

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you know those places they're

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not exactly new york city you know what i
mean They are more like the, they're

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called rust belt, sun belt kind of places.

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They are more rural.

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They're more, you know, industrial.

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They're poorer also.

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And the thing with inflation, like you
mentioned, is the number for inflation is

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the increase has stopped.

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But it takes a while to notice a stop.

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You know what I mean?

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So let's just say the price of milk goes
up, you know, 10 times and then stops for

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two, three months.

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You don't feel like you basically stopped
inflation for two, three months.

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You still remember the price has gone up,
you know, 10 times.

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And that's the thing with inflation.

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It takes a long time to feel.

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inflation stopping.

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It's very easy to feel inflation
increasing.

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And that is the thing is why it's a story
there.

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But the one thing I want to mention about
the election is interesting out there.

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I don't know if you guys follow
polymarkets.

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No, I don't.

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Polymarkets is this election.

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So it's a prediction market, right?

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Okay.

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And it's like on the US election, there's
billions, literally billions of dollars on

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the line at the moment, betting on the
election.

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And for some reason, something happened in
the last week.

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You know, it went from basically, I think
about

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50 something percent to Harris to 40
something percent to Trump.

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It just reversed in the last week.

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It's been a pretty substantial change
around.

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And people are saying, I don't know if you
follow Mark Halperin,

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he's the guy that predicted Biden was
going to drop out like three days before

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Biden did.

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Right.

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And he's saying that there's internal
pollings, and there's an article in the

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Wall Street Journal about this as well,

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in which a senator, I can't remember the
state she's from, she's a Democratic

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senator,

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and she's saying that her private polling,
that's the polling that her organization

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is doing,

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is showing heresy significantly worse than
the public polling in the places like the

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New York Times and so on, she's
publishing.

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So I think there's a danger right now
that...

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Harris is letting these key states,
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and so on,

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slip away because these are the places
that are going to determine things.

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It doesn't really matter what despite
Trump, I think, renting out Madison Square

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Garden to try and get New York.

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He's never going to get New York.

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He's never going to get California.

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And despite Schumer saying that he's going
to go to Texas, they're never going to get

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Texas.

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But Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, those are the
places that count.

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And internal polling right now is saying
there's a shift towards Trump that has

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happened.

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two weeks and you've seen that happen only
markets do the political uh which was the

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uh like i said you look at

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um holy markets until about a week ago
harris was ahead and i'd been ahead for a

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few weeks and then suddenly out of nowhere
trump goes up to 54 she's

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done at 45.

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is it because of his uh sort of emotional
and oh goodness me i've been shot i'd shot

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at twice is it because of that viv do

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you think or david do you know i think
what happened is that she's lost any

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events

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All the events that happened so far,
except for the assassination that happened

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before she became the nominee, were
positive for her.

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So the debate worked in her favor.

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The Democratic conference worked in her
favor.

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Replacing Biden, you get the euphoria of
Biden going away, worked in her favor,

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right?

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But without any kind of event happening,
she doesn't do media, right?

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uh the media that she does do i don't know
if you've seen the 60 minutes interview

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that which was poor yeah she was poor very

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poor very poor and then you watch trump
this is an interesting thing as well you

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may not realize this but about 10 million
more women voted men

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in the us if the same amount of men voted
as women trump would win in the landslide

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if

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you notice what trump has to do recently
he's been going on this podcast but this

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very male podcast he went to the podcast
called call me daddy right which is a

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which

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is a big female podcast but he's gone on
things like andrew schultz he's got with

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00:11:42.711 --> 00:11:44.711
the award he's done all these these male

232
00:11:44.711 --> 00:11:49.597
centric podcasts and he goes in there and
he's just like you listen to him speak

233
00:11:49.597 --> 00:11:51.597
he's very charming like there's a thing
called the flavor one

234
00:11:51.597 --> 00:11:52.860
it's very very charming it's not the the
demagogue

235
00:11:53.080 --> 00:11:59.907
even these guys who are more democratic on
the podcast laughing he's trying to get

236
00:11:59.907 --> 00:12:01.907
the male vote coming in and that's that's
i think

237
00:12:01.907 --> 00:12:05.667
also what's affecting things here because
if you get the male vote coming in oh and

238
00:12:05.667 --> 00:12:07.667
finally one last thing I don't know if you
saw as well,

239
00:12:07.667 --> 00:12:11.910
Elon Musk is paying $40 something dollars
for every person that's selling some

240
00:12:11.910 --> 00:12:12.050
petition.

241
00:12:12.890 --> 00:12:16.032
And you may think, okay, that's stupid
because you could just fake selling the

242
00:12:16.032 --> 00:12:16.252
petition.

243
00:12:16.752 --> 00:12:23.575
But what it's actually doing is it's
incentivizing people to go out and talk to

244
00:12:23.575 --> 00:12:25.575
people about Trump in the specific

245
00:12:25.575 --> 00:12:27.575
areas.

246
00:12:27.575 --> 00:12:31.118
And it's one of the most effective things
you can do because effectively that knock

247
00:12:31.118 --> 00:12:33.118
on the door is something that, you know,
is very persuasive.

248
00:12:33.118 --> 00:12:35.118
So all these things are working.

249
00:12:35.118 --> 00:12:37.118
really behind the scenes.

250
00:12:37.118 --> 00:12:39.118
But one final thing, if I go.

251
00:12:39.118 --> 00:12:41.118
There's a great, funny interview.

252
00:12:41.118 --> 00:12:42.205
I don't know if you've seen it, with Elon
Musk and Tucker Carlson.

253
00:12:42.426 --> 00:12:45.548
Tucker Carlson, yeah, who used to be Fox
News, but was sacked from there.

254
00:12:45.928 --> 00:12:48.710
And it was the most absurd thing I've ever
seen in my life.

255
00:12:48.950 --> 00:12:51.532
He said, if Harris wins, I'm going to be
effed.

256
00:12:52.012 --> 00:12:53.813
And he'll probably go to jail or
something.

257
00:12:53.813 --> 00:12:55.675
And he laughed and laughed and laughed and
laughed.

258
00:12:56.055 --> 00:12:58.837
And I watched CNN after that.

259
00:12:59.197 --> 00:13:05.985
And the presenter, a woman called Abby
Phillip, We watched it and her face went

260
00:13:05.985 --> 00:13:07.985
deadpan, a black woman,

261
00:13:07.985 --> 00:13:13.007
and she went ashen white and she said,
yeah, that's really hilarious because he

262
00:13:13.007 --> 00:13:15.007
was talking about the assassination of
Harris

263
00:13:15.007 --> 00:13:15.588
and why it wouldn't be worth it because
she's a non-entity.

264
00:13:16.269 --> 00:13:19.490
And I just thought, and did you see, sorry
to digress here,

265
00:13:19.930 --> 00:13:23.512
did you see Musk jumping up and down like
an idiot on the stage?

266
00:13:24.012 --> 00:13:26.733
David, you come in on this one because
that offended me deeply.

267
00:13:26.813 --> 00:13:31.455
But, you know, what Viv says is that.

268
00:13:32.119 --> 00:13:36.801
The thing is that Trump has got a lot more
charisma when he gets in front of a crowd.

269
00:13:37.421 --> 00:13:38.982
He knows how to stir them up.

270
00:13:39.522 --> 00:13:46.385
He knows, and correctly on the podcast,
that's why I'm saying, you know, when I

271
00:13:46.385 --> 00:13:48.385
said that she hasn't got the personality,

272
00:13:48.385 --> 00:13:50.166
the power to be, she doesn't appear
presidential.

273
00:13:50.667 --> 00:13:52.928
She appears to be a very nice, sweet lady,

274
00:13:53.448 --> 00:13:59.870
but she's not a powerful character that
can hold her own against a Putin or

275
00:13:59.870 --> 00:13:59.890
against

276
00:14:00.551 --> 00:14:04.352
any of the… any of the leaders, you know,
is the,

277
00:14:04.833 --> 00:14:07.594
and I think this is where you're very
worried.

278
00:14:07.634 --> 00:14:10.875
Now we've got how many more weeks to go
for 26 days.

279
00:14:10.995 --> 00:14:11.695
Yeah.

280
00:14:11.695 --> 00:14:12.296
Yeah.

281
00:14:12.296 --> 00:14:12.776
Yeah.

282
00:14:12.776 --> 00:14:15.237
And, and he's on the, he's on the move.

283
00:14:15.237 --> 00:14:20.120
You know, he's going, you heard Viv said,
he's going to medicine square garden, you

284
00:14:20.120 --> 00:14:20.539
know,

285
00:14:20.539 --> 00:14:23.801
and he just says that New York has been
overrun by migrants.

286
00:14:24.101 --> 00:14:26.182
You know, in other words, we've got to
take it back.

287
00:14:26.382 --> 00:14:27.523
He knows he's going to lose it.

288
00:14:28.035 --> 00:14:32.278
But, you know, he goes there with a
message of anti-migrant, you know,

289
00:14:32.278 --> 00:14:32.477
migrant.

290
00:14:32.518 --> 00:14:37.521
And believe me, as I've said to you
before, Lindsay, this country would fall

291
00:14:37.521 --> 00:14:39.521
apart without the migrants.

292
00:14:39.521 --> 00:14:39.662
And it's just built on migrants.

293
00:14:40.162 --> 00:14:41.343
It just would not function.

294
00:14:42.023 --> 00:14:43.704
But it's an emotive issue.

295
00:14:44.345 --> 00:14:47.887
And, you know, I'm sorry to say you feel
the momentum.

296
00:14:48.543 --> 00:14:55.408
shifting towards definitely but it can
shift again it shifted toward harris have

297
00:14:55.408 --> 00:14:57.408
a look at him he now has his hair

298
00:14:57.408 --> 00:14:59.408
coiffed nicely not in

299
00:14:59.408 --> 00:15:04.534
1970s style slightly more up to date you
know it's been cut a bit and it doesn't go

300
00:15:04.534 --> 00:15:06.534
wild and blow in the wind and everything

301
00:15:06.534 --> 00:15:12.259
so he's on that charm offensive at the
moment and i'm i'm afraid that this is

302
00:15:12.259 --> 00:15:14.259
going to be very very close well i

303
00:15:14.259 --> 00:15:17.363
think it's going to be less close than we
think but on the other hand after harris

304
00:15:17.363 --> 00:15:19.363
and he debated

305
00:15:19.363 --> 00:15:22.186
Harris went up a couple of points, but now
she's gone down a couple of points because

306
00:15:22.186 --> 00:15:24.186
of all the things.

307
00:15:24.186 --> 00:15:25.107
But don't forget, Obama is coming in now.

308
00:15:25.467 --> 00:15:32.371
Barack Obama is coming in and he will be
by her side in every single event that she

309
00:15:32.371 --> 00:15:34.371
is hosting from now

310
00:15:34.371 --> 00:15:36.371
on.

311
00:15:36.371 --> 00:15:38.371
And that's a really, really big factor
because he is eloquent.

312
00:15:38.371 --> 00:15:39.615
He has all the eloquence and charm and
presence that she doesn't have.

313
00:15:39.675 --> 00:15:41.396
So I look forward to that.

314
00:15:41.656 --> 00:15:46.419
But I have to tell you, gentlemen, that I
watched on X a live stream of his.

315
00:15:46.855 --> 00:15:48.656
event in Pennsylvania last night.

316
00:15:49.517 --> 00:15:50.698
He was outrageous.

317
00:15:51.058 --> 00:15:52.059
Do you know what he said?

318
00:15:52.299 --> 00:15:55.541
He said, she is spending 94 billion.

319
00:15:55.561 --> 00:15:57.442
Then he said, no, not 94 billion.

320
00:15:57.923 --> 00:16:02.966
She is planning to spend 94 trillion on
cleaning up the air of America.

321
00:16:03.306 --> 00:16:08.350
And he said, that'll be good for the
Chinese when they take over so they can

322
00:16:08.350 --> 00:16:10.350
breathe clean air.

323
00:16:10.350 --> 00:16:10.631
And I sort of did a second take.

324
00:16:11.172 --> 00:16:13.413
And I played, he was outrageous last
night.

325
00:16:13.413 --> 00:16:15.615
I mean, kept on talking about the Congo.

326
00:16:16.071 --> 00:16:17.372
Which doesn't exist, of course.

327
00:16:17.412 --> 00:16:18.913
It's two different countries.

328
00:16:19.153 --> 00:16:22.696
But anyway, Kipton's talking about the
Congo, and they're letting people in from

329
00:16:22.696 --> 00:16:22.775
the Congo.

330
00:16:23.496 --> 00:16:24.437
And I've said this before.

331
00:16:24.517 --> 00:16:29.380
How do you get from the Congo to America
if you've just been let out of prison?

332
00:16:30.621 --> 00:16:31.682
You're not going to get a visa.

333
00:16:31.762 --> 00:16:33.443
What are you talking about, you idiot?

334
00:16:34.284 --> 00:16:36.825
Viv, do you watch these Trump things like
David and I do?

335
00:16:37.886 --> 00:16:38.586
Not all.

336
00:16:38.586 --> 00:16:42.589
I watch all the interviews he does, and I
think that is the thing here.

337
00:16:42.629 --> 00:16:44.310
Like David says, it comes across charming.

338
00:16:44.310 --> 00:16:45.010
If you watch the...

339
00:16:45.579 --> 00:16:46.900
Like I said, you watch the Andrew Schultz
thing.

340
00:16:47.320 --> 00:16:50.543
Andrew Schultz is like a middle kind of
the road kind of comedian.

341
00:16:50.623 --> 00:16:53.145
He is quite a big podcaster.

342
00:16:53.465 --> 00:16:55.467
He does a show, somebody called
Charlemagne.

343
00:16:55.467 --> 00:16:59.229
And Charlemagne is, if you know like
American black culture,

344
00:16:59.650 --> 00:17:02.952
he does the biggest podcast or biggest
radio show among black people.

345
00:17:03.332 --> 00:17:04.593
It's called The Breakfast Club.

346
00:17:06.215 --> 00:17:08.536
And so he's like a really big shot.

347
00:17:08.576 --> 00:17:10.658
So this is like his co-host in some of his
podcasts.

348
00:17:10.978 --> 00:17:11.939
And he does a show with him.

349
00:17:12.483 --> 00:17:16.447
And he comes across really like funny, he
makes jokes about himself and that kind of

350
00:17:16.447 --> 00:17:16.987
thing.

351
00:17:16.987 --> 00:17:17.628
He comes across as charming.

352
00:17:17.628 --> 00:17:23.233
And the thing about this year is that,
unfortunately, the thing comes down to at

353
00:17:23.233 --> 00:17:23.572
the moment,

354
00:17:23.572 --> 00:17:26.035
not about what you're going to do or what
your policies are.

355
00:17:26.416 --> 00:17:28.618
It really is about a popularity contest.

356
00:17:29.238 --> 00:17:29.938
You know what I mean?

357
00:17:30.419 --> 00:17:34.503
And unfortunately, that's what politics is
at the moment, a popularity contest.

358
00:17:34.563 --> 00:17:38.246
And I think Harris tried to do something.

359
00:17:39.559 --> 00:17:42.441
And Fox News offered him a debate at the
end of the month.

360
00:17:43.341 --> 00:17:46.583
He's probably going to say no to that,
even though it's Fox News, which should be

361
00:17:46.583 --> 00:17:46.623
on his side.

362
00:17:48.084 --> 00:17:51.526
Because he sees basically, why do I bother
if I'm going to win?

363
00:17:51.626 --> 00:17:54.227
Why do I put an obstacle that might not
win?

364
00:17:55.168 --> 00:17:56.168
And so, yeah,

365
00:17:56.929 --> 00:18:02.172
it's a very it looks like very strongly
like he's got a chance.

366
00:18:02.672 --> 00:18:03.873
And here's the weirder thing.

367
00:18:05.934 --> 00:18:08.115
If we assume that the polls

368
00:18:08.511 --> 00:18:14.957
are the same as they were in 2020 and 2016
in terms of how uh undone as they are

369
00:18:14.957 --> 00:18:15.016
against trump

370
00:18:15.417 --> 00:18:22.183
in terms of the the voting he's not just
gonna win he's gonna win a landslide we

371
00:18:22.183 --> 00:18:24.183
say the polls are even only because the
polls come across as

372
00:18:24.183 --> 00:18:25.466
even but remember in 2016 when he won the
polls were like

373
00:18:25.906 --> 00:18:31.751
99 against him one percent for him i think
the best one was saying two to one against

374
00:18:31.751 --> 00:18:33.751
him this time he's 50 50.

375
00:18:33.751 --> 00:18:38.777
okay and if you look at even with biden uh
the polls did overestimated Biden's

376
00:18:38.777 --> 00:18:40.777
support by like 4-5%.

377
00:18:40.777 --> 00:18:42.777
You know what I mean?

378
00:18:42.777 --> 00:18:43.500
He needs 1% against Harris to basically,
you know, make it up.

379
00:18:43.901 --> 00:18:46.763
So they have not adjusted the polls, by
the way.

380
00:18:47.183 --> 00:18:53.767
The polling is still the same as it was
there because the polling assumes that the

381
00:18:53.767 --> 00:18:55.767
margin of error means that sometimes it's
going to go in one direction,

382
00:18:55.767 --> 00:18:57.767
sometimes in another.

383
00:18:57.767 --> 00:18:59.767
If it's twice in one direction, it's just
a bit of luck.

384
00:18:59.767 --> 00:19:02.734
So the chance of him winning and winning
significantly is, I think, if I had to

385
00:19:02.734 --> 00:19:04.734
bet, I'd bet on him.

386
00:19:04.734 --> 00:19:06.734
I think Polly Markle is probably right.

387
00:19:06.734 --> 00:19:07.380
You're wearing me and depressing me both
at the same time.

388
00:19:07.640 --> 00:19:08.901
But you're absolutely right, Viv.

389
00:19:09.301 --> 00:19:10.862
I'm terrified of what's going on now.

390
00:19:11.162 --> 00:19:11.862
And I do think he's...

391
00:19:11.862 --> 00:19:14.823
It's not good for South Africa. It's not
good for the world.

392
00:19:15.604 --> 00:19:16.304
No, I know.

393
00:19:16.304 --> 00:19:17.925
For the world, but I mean for Africa as
well.

394
00:19:18.865 --> 00:19:21.206
You know, he has no time for it.

395
00:19:21.426 --> 00:19:22.126
Nothing.

396
00:19:22.187 --> 00:19:27.129
No, he calls them, I'm not going to say
the word, but he calls the whole of Africa

397
00:19:27.129 --> 00:19:29.129
S-hole countries.

398
00:19:29.129 --> 00:19:29.730
I mean, there's going to be nothing.

399
00:19:30.290 --> 00:19:34.693
If there's any money going into Africa, or
South Africa or any favourable trade

400
00:19:34.693 --> 00:19:34.812
deals.

401
00:19:34.812 --> 00:19:41.239
He's just going to get his great big fist
out and just draw a big cross across those

402
00:19:41.239 --> 00:19:43.239
agreements,

403
00:19:43.239 --> 00:19:45.239
and it won't be good for them.

404
00:19:45.239 --> 00:19:51.367
After what Woodward came up with in his
book about the Putin calls and everything

405
00:19:51.367 --> 00:19:53.367
else, that's very, very dangerous.

406
00:19:53.367 --> 00:19:54.190
I don't know, people say, no, of course
they should chat.

407
00:19:54.210 --> 00:19:55.171
I mean, it's diplomacy.

408
00:19:55.271 --> 00:19:56.992
No, it's nothing to do with diplomacy.

409
00:19:57.393 --> 00:19:59.815
It's to do with Trump saying, I'll do this
because you know...

410
00:20:00.135 --> 00:20:03.026
that I was in a hotel room in Moscow with
three hookers.

411
00:20:04.490 --> 00:20:05.591
And I've got pictures of it.

412
00:20:05.611 --> 00:20:06.531
That's what it is.

413
00:20:06.551 --> 00:20:07.251
It really is.

414
00:20:07.432 --> 00:20:09.834
Gentlemen, the markets now, before we get
on to more stuff.

415
00:20:10.634 --> 00:20:12.436
Dollar round is 17.54.

416
00:20:12.496 --> 00:20:14.637
British pound against the round is 22.88.

417
00:20:14.637 --> 00:20:17.259
And the euro round is 19.15.

418
00:20:17.259 --> 00:20:20.041
Euro dollar 109.20 after the data today.

419
00:20:20.101 --> 00:20:21.662
So nothing much going on there.

420
00:20:22.382 --> 00:20:24.664
British pound 130.50.

421
00:20:24.664 --> 00:20:29.427
Looks like there will be a first black
woman leader of the Conservative Party.

422
00:20:29.467 --> 00:20:31.789
And I must say, she's very good.

423
00:20:31.849 --> 00:20:32.870
She's very spicy.

424
00:20:33.550 --> 00:20:36.913
She says what she means, even if it
offends people.

425
00:20:37.374 --> 00:20:38.175
It doesn't offend me.

426
00:20:38.415 --> 00:20:43.740
The gold price, 2625, up $19 an ounce.

427
00:20:43.880 --> 00:20:46.602
Platinum 976, up 28.

428
00:20:46.963 --> 00:20:50.626
And palladium, up 29 to 1066.

429
00:20:50.986 --> 00:20:54.149
The other commodities, that's interesting.

430
00:20:54.169 --> 00:20:55.651
The oil price has been very interesting.

431
00:20:56.131 --> 00:20:57.813
It's up strongly today again.

432
00:20:57.853 --> 00:20:58.974
It's all over the place.

433
00:20:59.674 --> 00:21:02.836
depending on which country is being bombed
and by whom.

434
00:21:03.337 --> 00:21:06.139
$78.19 for Brent, up 2.1%.

435
00:21:06.759 --> 00:21:12.003
And West Texas, $74.79, also 2.1% higher.

436
00:21:12.063 --> 00:21:12.763
What else have we got?

437
00:21:12.783 --> 00:21:14.184
Copper up 0.7%.

438
00:21:14.885 --> 00:21:16.686
Yeah, coal down 2.5%.

439
00:21:16.726 --> 00:21:18.768
Steel up, no, actually doing nothing.

440
00:21:19.128 --> 00:21:23.591
But anyway, commodities after the China
story don't really know what to do.

441
00:21:24.091 --> 00:21:27.854
The S&P 500, record highs yesterday,
record closing highs.

442
00:21:28.234 --> 00:21:30.296
Slightly down today, 0.2% weaker.

443
00:21:30.496 --> 00:21:34.739
The December futures, 5,828.

444
00:21:34.739 --> 00:21:37.500
US 10-year treasury, 4.10%.

445
00:21:37.941 --> 00:21:43.545
The South African 10-year bond is 9.32%.
And Bitcoin,

446
00:21:44.926 --> 00:21:45.926
what is that thing doing?

447
00:21:45.926 --> 00:21:48.468
60,700, let's call it.

448
00:21:48.868 --> 00:21:53.631
Down nearly 2%. So, yeah, not much going
on there.

449
00:21:54.212 --> 00:21:57.074
David, any South African corporate news we
should...

450
00:21:57.714 --> 00:21:58.414
Hi.

451
00:21:58.414 --> 00:21:59.295
I've been so out of it.

452
00:21:59.395 --> 00:22:03.218
I really and I haven't even got a computer
here in Boston.

453
00:22:03.718 --> 00:22:05.219
I'm operating off an iPad.

454
00:22:05.820 --> 00:22:09.022
So I'm a little out of touch with what's
happened over the last year.

455
00:22:09.022 --> 00:22:09.862
No, there hasn't been any.

456
00:22:09.862 --> 00:22:10.823
I haven't seen much.

457
00:22:11.504 --> 00:22:12.204
No, there's not news.

458
00:22:12.444 --> 00:22:13.585
Viv can come in on this one.

459
00:22:15.326 --> 00:22:17.227
Yeah, I'll talk in a second.

460
00:22:17.247 --> 00:22:20.490
Also, I don't want us to forget to mention
there's a big Tesla event tonight.

461
00:22:20.490 --> 00:22:22.971
I don't know if you've heard about that.

462
00:22:23.011 --> 00:22:24.052
No, go on.

463
00:22:24.052 --> 00:22:24.913
What's he doing this time?

464
00:22:24.953 --> 00:22:25.653
Dancing?

465
00:22:25.873 --> 00:22:26.573
Jumping in the air?

466
00:22:26.594 --> 00:22:27.294
What?

467
00:22:27.294 --> 00:22:33.436
what's that uh it's called we robot uh
this is when he's going to unveil the

468
00:22:33.436 --> 00:22:35.436
robotaxi remember it's always been tesla

469
00:22:35.436 --> 00:22:41.238
yeah and the driverless vehicle yes uh and
if you i don't know if david has seen any

470
00:22:41.238 --> 00:22:43.238
in the in the us at the moment but way
more is operating these

471
00:22:43.238 --> 00:22:47.400
vehicles right now you can actually get
the driverless vehicle taxi in in the us

472
00:22:47.400 --> 00:22:49.400
from waymo uh and

473
00:22:49.400 --> 00:22:54.222
he's basically likely that's the
prediction to announce his version of the

474
00:22:54.222 --> 00:22:56.222
driverless taxi uh today uh it's called we

475
00:22:56.222 --> 00:23:00.829
robot There's also the possibility it
might be the Optimus Prime, something

476
00:23:00.829 --> 00:23:02.829
happening there, but it's most likely to
be the Robotaxi.

477
00:23:02.829 --> 00:23:05.332
There's been apparently videos of this
thing going around, et cetera.

478
00:23:05.992 --> 00:23:07.773
And so, yeah, big AI news.

479
00:23:07.773 --> 00:23:10.255
In terms of the market, really weird kind
of like thing.

480
00:23:10.255 --> 00:23:11.876
I mean, the platinum stocks are looking
great.

481
00:23:11.876 --> 00:23:14.757
We're looking at Sibania, one of the
smallest being.

482
00:23:14.757 --> 00:23:16.458
Down 8.3%.

483
00:23:17.179 --> 00:23:18.599
That's not an ex-dividend story.

484
00:23:19.040 --> 00:23:20.581
That's a real price, is it?

485
00:23:20.941 --> 00:23:22.842
The Sibania weakness today, Viv?

486
00:23:26.380 --> 00:23:28.181
I don't check it out.

487
00:23:28.181 --> 00:23:29.461
I don't think it is yet.

488
00:23:29.461 --> 00:23:31.122
I think it is actually.

489
00:23:31.122 --> 00:23:32.423
Let's check the statistic correctly.

490
00:23:32.423 --> 00:23:33.924
17,61.

491
00:23:33.964 --> 00:23:34.664
What was the high on that?

492
00:23:34.664 --> 00:23:35.485
It was in the 40s or 50s, wasn't it?

493
00:23:35.505 --> 00:23:36.465
David, you would know this.

494
00:23:36.505 --> 00:23:39.707
You haven't got a computer, but Sibelius
is a...

495
00:23:39.707 --> 00:23:43.449
It was 7,500 at one stage.

496
00:23:45.730 --> 00:23:48.832
75 round a share and is now below 18.

497
00:23:49.572 --> 00:23:50.813
What an extraordinary story.

498
00:23:50.893 --> 00:23:52.534
The destruction of wealth in that one.

499
00:23:52.910 --> 00:23:55.131
Because it was the darling at one stage,
obviously.

500
00:23:55.511 --> 00:23:56.792
Sorry, Viv, we interrupted you.

501
00:23:57.652 --> 00:24:01.874
No, no, basically, yeah, it happened
basically in the middle of the day.

502
00:24:05.055 --> 00:24:08.076
They lost the court case, and that's kind
of hurt them.

503
00:24:08.977 --> 00:24:10.617
It's about 1.2 billion.

504
00:24:11.077 --> 00:24:12.338
They may be liable for damages.

505
00:24:14.699 --> 00:24:15.959
That's what's hurting them there.

506
00:24:16.660 --> 00:24:22.202
At the same time, we also see, from the
positive stocks, a lot of gold producers.

507
00:24:23.002 --> 00:24:29.648
uh you know harmony is up angular gold is
up drd is up uh you know it's also it's a

508
00:24:29.648 --> 00:24:31.648
bit of a bifurcated

509
00:24:31.648 --> 00:24:36.413
market uh in terms of other stocks out
there chasel is one of the beginnings of

510
00:24:36.413 --> 00:24:38.413
the day as well and you can make sense of
that

511
00:24:38.413 --> 00:24:41.697
because of the quality of you know all the
way higher and in the fall is strange

512
00:24:41.697 --> 00:24:43.697
enough the process was

513
00:24:43.697 --> 00:24:44.880
down uh you know you know we're going to
talk

514
00:24:44.940 --> 00:24:51.705
about uh china but uh you would think that
when they introduced this what's it five

515
00:24:51.705 --> 00:24:53.705
trillion uh 500

516
00:24:53.705 --> 00:24:58.109
billion dollar a stabilization fund, the
market would expect to be pretty stable.

517
00:24:58.610 --> 00:25:03.800
But unfortunately, I think that the issues
in China are pretty negative, I think.

518
00:25:04.532 --> 00:25:09.394
Well, they had the Golden Week, which is
their week off, and they were also

519
00:25:09.394 --> 00:25:11.394
celebrating the

520
00:25:11.394 --> 00:25:14.717
75th anniversary of the foundation of the
People's Republic of China in 1937.

521
00:25:15.097 --> 00:25:18.839
And everyone was very optimistic, and the
share prices went through the roof.

522
00:25:19.259 --> 00:25:26.142
And yet in the last two days, they've had
the worst period for, I think, 27 years or

523
00:25:26.142 --> 00:25:28.142
something for China equities,

524
00:25:28.142 --> 00:25:30.142
the biggest falls.

525
00:25:30.142 --> 00:25:30.764
And it's strange, and it doesn't engender
much...

526
00:25:30.924 --> 00:25:32.085
confidence in China.

527
00:25:32.405 --> 00:25:35.948
David, I don't know if you're a China
investor or if you've had more

528
00:25:35.948 --> 00:25:37.948
opportunities.

529
00:25:37.948 --> 00:25:39.948
It is unpredictable.

530
00:25:39.948 --> 00:25:41.948
It's unpredictable.

531
00:25:41.948 --> 00:25:43.948
You can't call it.

532
00:25:43.948 --> 00:25:45.855
And I know that they were disappointed and
waiting for further stimulus, which is

533
00:25:45.855 --> 00:25:47.855
absolutely needed.

534
00:25:47.855 --> 00:25:53.320
And now the whole story is waiting for the
end of all those celebrations and various

535
00:25:53.320 --> 00:25:55.320
talks on fiscal policy to see

536
00:25:55.320 --> 00:25:57.320
if anything else does come.

537
00:25:57.320 --> 00:25:57.644
But it's very difficult to read.

538
00:25:58.444 --> 00:26:04.286
You know, it's still a massive economy,
still contributes hugely to world growth,

539
00:26:04.286 --> 00:26:06.286
you know, as does India.

540
00:26:06.286 --> 00:26:08.727
But to invest there is becoming more and
more difficult.

541
00:26:09.447 --> 00:26:11.608
And Viv was talking about process and
NASPERS.

542
00:26:11.668 --> 00:26:15.149
Yes, they recovered on the 10 cent
recovery that we have seen.

543
00:26:16.789 --> 00:26:19.010
But, you know, that's also got to be
sustainable.

544
00:26:19.490 --> 00:26:23.951
And it's always a worry, Lindsay, with
recovery stocks, even the SA market.

545
00:26:24.311 --> 00:26:26.792
You know, we come from a very low point
and we...

546
00:26:27.912 --> 00:26:29.433
I don't want to say a knee-jerk reaction.

547
00:26:29.513 --> 00:26:30.614
Everyone gets excited.

548
00:26:30.974 --> 00:26:32.336
But you need sustainability.

549
00:26:32.796 --> 00:26:36.519
You need follow-through for those markets
to continue.

550
00:26:37.179 --> 00:26:43.845
And it's very difficult to see it against
the backdrop that you said of

551
00:26:44.425 --> 00:26:45.226
stagflation.

552
00:26:45.526 --> 00:26:51.431
I don't believe in stagflation, but I
think the economy takes certainly the

553
00:26:51.431 --> 00:26:53.431
American economy is more

554
00:26:53.431 --> 00:26:54.253
service-orientated than
investment-orientated.

555
00:26:54.333 --> 00:26:57.616
So just got to be very careful about that.

556
00:26:57.976 --> 00:27:04.802
how you play it just with caution not not
with great excitement it will go up with

557
00:27:04.802 --> 00:27:06.802
the rest of the world as growth returns
but it's

558
00:27:06.802 --> 00:27:11.627
not uh you know and i'm talking mainly
china and south africa as well which is

559
00:27:11.627 --> 00:27:13.627
commodity driven just just be careful

560
00:27:13.627 --> 00:27:16.992
think it through okay we'll do so let's
have a look at the stocks i mean viv has

561
00:27:16.992 --> 00:27:18.992
very well described

562
00:27:18.992 --> 00:27:23.897
the ups and the downs on the jsc today but
i'll just reiterate what he said harmony

563
00:27:23.897 --> 00:27:25.897
top of the list up four and a third
percent angler goldish

564
00:27:25.897 --> 00:27:29.040
shanty up 4.1 percent drd gold up 3.6
Sassel a 3.4% winner.

565
00:27:29.040 --> 00:27:31.481
On the downside, Sibani Stillwater.

566
00:27:31.761 --> 00:27:33.242
Gosh, how the mighty have fallen.

567
00:27:33.262 --> 00:27:38.003
8.3% weaker, R17.61 per share.

568
00:27:38.583 --> 00:27:39.663
Bytes down 8%.

569
00:27:39.763 --> 00:27:46.065
Mondi down 3.7% after a really good day
yesterday after they bought something

570
00:27:46.065 --> 00:27:48.065
somewhere in Europe.

571
00:27:48.065 --> 00:27:49.146
And I'm sorry for being so vague, but
anyway, they did.

572
00:27:49.626 --> 00:27:52.167
And people are saying, well, hello, what's
that all about?

573
00:27:52.267 --> 00:27:56.548
3.3% down for PHP prop and Northam's down
nearly...

574
00:27:57.312 --> 00:27:58.012
Two percent.

575
00:27:58.012 --> 00:28:01.095
David, can you give us the closing indices
before we come to our closing?

576
00:28:01.256 --> 00:28:02.316
Oh, you can't, can you?

577
00:28:03.257 --> 00:28:07.541
I wish I all I know is that I can give you
the foot.

578
00:28:07.541 --> 00:28:11.224
Sorry, the top 40 index was down.

579
00:28:11.244 --> 00:28:11.944
I can give you these.

580
00:28:11.944 --> 00:28:12.785
Don't you worry, David.

581
00:28:13.626 --> 00:28:18.710
You get your closing thoughts together on
what you think is going to happen in the

582
00:28:18.710 --> 00:28:20.710
next couple of weeks.

583
00:28:20.710 --> 00:28:23.154
But I've got the top 40 flat at seventy
seven thousand three hundred and sixty

584
00:28:23.154 --> 00:28:23.313
eight.

585
00:28:23.313 --> 00:28:25.536
Industrials down point six percent.

586
00:28:25.984 --> 00:28:27.524
Financials are flat.

587
00:28:27.825 --> 00:28:29.785
It's a boring day, let's put it that way.

588
00:28:29.785 --> 00:28:34.626
The all-share itself, 85,393 on the day,

589
00:28:34.786 --> 00:28:37.027
which again is essentially flat.

590
00:28:37.687 --> 00:28:43.649
So yeah, not much going on on the JSE,
which is unusual after the US inflation

591
00:28:43.649 --> 00:28:45.649
data.

592
00:28:45.649 --> 00:28:47.649
Viv, any AI news?

593
00:28:47.649 --> 00:28:52.211
Didn't I say something about ChatGPT and
its market valuation of 150 billion or

594
00:28:52.251 --> 00:28:52.951
something?

595
00:28:52.951 --> 00:28:55.412
Viv, I tend to turn off, and the reason I
turn off...

596
00:28:55.944 --> 00:29:02.269
as an aside is because after 150 years of
having linesmen at the wimbledon tennis

597
00:29:02.329 --> 00:29:09.294
championships they've been scrapped
because of ai and technology so you've got

598
00:29:09.294 --> 00:29:11.294
lots of um unemployed lines people

599
00:29:11.294 --> 00:29:12.796
walking around london at the moment uh
looking

600
00:29:12.836 --> 00:29:19.742
for a job i mean come on viv that's not
right but i mean if you look at the latest

601
00:29:19.742 --> 00:29:21.742
version they give it out right this

602
00:29:21.742 --> 00:29:26.706
preview version and there's a guy called i
don't know if you know terence town He is

603
00:29:26.706 --> 00:29:28.706
considered to be the greatest
mathematician in the world, right?

604
00:29:28.706 --> 00:29:28.827
He's got a Nobel Prize or something.

605
00:29:29.648 --> 00:29:30.348
A Fields Medal.

606
00:29:30.409 --> 00:29:31.109
Fields Medal.

607
00:29:31.449 --> 00:29:33.411
You don't get a Max Prize from the Nobel.

608
00:29:33.931 --> 00:29:37.894
But he basically came out and said he's
looked at and he's played with the GPT

609
00:29:37.894 --> 00:29:39.894
thing.

610
00:29:39.894 --> 00:29:43.197
This is the case where, you know, it can
do things that, unfortunately, I don't

611
00:29:43.197 --> 00:29:45.197
have the intellect to judge whether or not
it's smarter or not.

612
00:29:45.197 --> 00:29:47.197
You know what I mean?

613
00:29:47.197 --> 00:29:49.197
It's smarter in such a level that I can't
judge it.

614
00:29:49.197 --> 00:29:53.024
But the mathematical jump up that it's
done has put it in the level, he says, as

615
00:29:53.024 --> 00:29:53.063
a...

616
00:29:53.364 --> 00:30:00.154
is mediocre to like good graduate students
in mathematics right it helps okay this is

617
00:30:00.154 --> 00:30:02.154
terence tau

618
00:30:02.154 --> 00:30:06.822
do uh problem solving now if something can
help this town Trust me, it's a, you

619
00:30:06.822 --> 00:30:07.021
could, we,

620
00:30:07.021 --> 00:30:11.246
I don't know about you guys, but I could
barely like, you know, hold the pen that

621
00:30:11.246 --> 00:30:13.246
he's writing with, you know what I mean?

622
00:30:13.246 --> 00:30:15.246
That's how smart he is.

623
00:30:15.246 --> 00:30:17.246
He has like a two-stuff.

624
00:30:17.246 --> 00:30:19.246
The stuff he could do at seven, I can't do
that.

625
00:30:19.246 --> 00:30:19.373
But he's basically saying that this is a
step up in a way.

626
00:30:19.493 --> 00:30:21.635
And so, yeah, the GPD stuff is one.

627
00:30:22.135 --> 00:30:28.421
But the interesting thing about this, and
this is also, I don't know if you guys

628
00:30:28.421 --> 00:30:30.421
know, that Sam Altman, right, who somebody
said once,

629
00:30:30.421 --> 00:30:31.704
if you do an island of cannibals, you come
back at five, yes, you do the pig.

630
00:30:32.388 --> 00:30:39.212
he is the sole remaining executive at
openai right he's got open the eye from

631
00:30:39.212 --> 00:30:41.212
being a pro non-profit

632
00:30:41.212 --> 00:30:46.015
company to a for-profit company like
lindsay mentioned worth 150 billion

633
00:30:46.015 --> 00:30:48.015
dollars yeah he's been awarded 10 billion
of those dollars by the way as a

634
00:30:48.015 --> 00:30:50.298
stock thing and

635
00:30:50.318 --> 00:30:57.001
here's the here's the thing this guy
basically has managed to do this all while

636
00:30:57.001 --> 00:30:59.001
claiming that he's working uh

637
00:30:59.001 --> 00:31:01.364
for the love of this thing he he he really
does come across i mean

638
00:31:02.645 --> 00:31:07.188
as somebody that's an absolute
psychopathic business person.

639
00:31:07.829 --> 00:31:14.555
He looks to be somebody that says what he
needs to say, does what he needs to do,

640
00:31:14.555 --> 00:31:16.555
and yet at the end of the day comes out
with the most money,

641
00:31:16.555 --> 00:31:18.555
the most power.

642
00:31:18.555 --> 00:31:20.555
He fired the bomb that's supposed to be
able to fire him.

643
00:31:20.555 --> 00:31:23.642
He changed everybody else that said no to
him or was even a threat to his power is

644
00:31:23.642 --> 00:31:25.642
gone from the company.

645
00:31:25.642 --> 00:31:26.304
And he's trying to raise money right now,
okay?

646
00:31:27.105 --> 00:31:29.207
And this is where the $150 billion
valuation comes from.

647
00:31:29.207 --> 00:31:30.548
And one of the rules for...

648
00:31:30.888 --> 00:31:37.653
investing in his company is that you can't
invest in the company formed by his former

649
00:31:37.653 --> 00:31:39.653
basically people that work there like at
Tropic

650
00:31:39.653 --> 00:31:40.435
or the guy that used to be his chief
scientist, Leah.

651
00:31:41.536 --> 00:31:48.421
So he's not only basically trying to make
sure that he's throwing his company, he's

652
00:31:48.421 --> 00:31:50.421
trying to cut off funding for all the
other AI companies out there at the same

653
00:31:50.421 --> 00:31:52.421
time.

654
00:31:52.421 --> 00:31:54.421
A real tough business man this guy is.

655
00:31:54.421 --> 00:31:57.948
David, Viv said that he wouldn't be able
to hold the pen of the mathematician that

656
00:31:57.948 --> 00:31:59.948
he was talking about.

657
00:31:59.948 --> 00:32:02.271
I think after hearing what he's just said,
that maybe he could.

658
00:32:02.532 --> 00:32:08.757
The thing that bugs me is that
mathematician, these geniuses of which we

659
00:32:08.757 --> 00:32:10.757
speak, are they all happy?

660
00:32:10.757 --> 00:32:11.839
David, you're happy walking around Central
Park every day, aren't you?

661
00:32:12.480 --> 00:32:13.180
Yeah, yeah.

662
00:32:13.200 --> 00:32:14.781
Exactly.

663
00:32:14.781 --> 00:32:16.443
I'm not after making that kind of money.

664
00:32:16.443 --> 00:32:18.925
I'm quite happy just looking at the
flowers.

665
00:32:19.365 --> 00:32:26.031
But, you know, credit to Sam Altman, I
mean, and the release of Open, of ChatGPT

666
00:32:26.031 --> 00:32:28.031
at the right time, November 22,

667
00:32:28.031 --> 00:32:30.031
which really changed everything.

668
00:32:30.031 --> 00:32:32.031
brought it to our attention.

669
00:32:32.031 --> 00:32:35.534
I think you've got a lot of those kind of
people hovering around in the cutthroat

670
00:32:36.034 --> 00:32:37.815
U.S. market.

671
00:32:39.295 --> 00:32:40.475
That's what makes America.

672
00:32:41.596 --> 00:32:42.576
It's not for sissies.

673
00:32:43.876 --> 00:32:46.397
And this place, if you don't perform,
you're out the next day.

674
00:32:46.757 --> 00:32:48.938
You're not even given 24 hours.

675
00:32:48.958 --> 00:32:51.118
You're given an hour.

676
00:32:51.138 --> 00:32:55.159
They cut down your computer, give you a
pink slip, and that's it, and an agreement

677
00:32:55.159 --> 00:32:57.159
to sign.

678
00:32:57.159 --> 00:32:59.159
And that's America.

679
00:32:59.159 --> 00:33:02.133
That's the kind of competition you've, you
know, Lindsay, just on that,

680
00:33:02.574 --> 00:33:09.135
just being with family here and being
around people who came from South Africa,

681
00:33:09.135 --> 00:33:11.135
mainly ex-South Africans, a lot of, you
know,

682
00:33:11.135 --> 00:33:13.135
other people as well.

683
00:33:13.135 --> 00:33:16.898
But what interests me and what is so
fascinating is the culture of

684
00:33:16.958 --> 00:33:18.018
choosing your college.

685
00:33:18.658 --> 00:33:23.960
You know, you, the kids are in now, my
granddaughter now is in, she's a senior.

686
00:33:24.788 --> 00:33:28.430
She's now full into choosing where she's
going to go as a college.

687
00:33:28.790 --> 00:33:30.010
And this is an industry.

688
00:33:30.431 --> 00:33:32.291
You know, choosing a college is an
industry.

689
00:33:32.331 --> 00:33:38.694
It's not, you know, you haven't got, oh,
I'm going to go to UJA or I'm going to

690
00:33:38.694 --> 00:33:40.694
Cape Town, Stellenbosch or Wits, whatever.

691
00:33:40.694 --> 00:33:41.556
This is, you know, you've got country.

692
00:33:41.636 --> 00:33:44.157
You've got many, many choices.

693
00:33:44.537 --> 00:33:48.319
And all of them are good colleges and all,
in a way, businesses.

694
00:33:48.839 --> 00:33:51.400
So, but where I come to is that...

695
00:33:52.324 --> 00:33:58.348
It breeds, you know, you breed this
intellect that is so competitive.

696
00:33:58.728 --> 00:34:05.531
You know, it's not just open for you to,
oh yeah, my dad's, you know, he runs a

697
00:34:05.531 --> 00:34:07.531
grocer down the road that gives me
security.

698
00:34:07.531 --> 00:34:09.531
This is far from it.

699
00:34:09.531 --> 00:34:09.894
It is a very, very competitive country.

700
00:34:10.474 --> 00:34:13.916
And you have to start from the time, Viv,
you send your kids to nurseries.

701
00:34:13.916 --> 00:34:15.717
That's what I was going to say to Viv.

702
00:34:15.717 --> 00:34:21.900
I was going to say, in 16, 17 years'time,
18 years'time, Aviv,

703
00:34:22.300 --> 00:34:26.963
when your youngster is not so young
anymore, where is that child going to go?

704
00:34:27.103 --> 00:34:29.464
Are you going to say, well, it's South
Africa?

705
00:34:29.464 --> 00:34:35.548
Are you going to send her overseas or
something to go to Yale or Harvard or

706
00:34:35.548 --> 00:34:37.548
wherever it is,

707
00:34:37.548 --> 00:34:39.548
Wharton Business School?

708
00:34:39.548 --> 00:34:41.548
I mean, it's an interesting decision,
isn't it?

709
00:34:41.548 --> 00:34:43.548
Yeah.

710
00:34:43.548 --> 00:34:43.692
The scary thing for me is that I'm so into
the AI stuff.

711
00:34:43.752 --> 00:34:48.175
I look at the technology developing, and I
don't know what job, what I can trade her

712
00:34:48.175 --> 00:34:48.655
for.

713
00:34:48.655 --> 00:34:50.476
My brother had this vision.

714
00:34:50.800 --> 00:34:55.722
So his daughter, right, so not to like,
you know, like, but he wanted her to be an

715
00:34:55.722 --> 00:34:55.902
artist.

716
00:34:56.043 --> 00:34:58.884
He saw AI company, he's an engineer, he
thought this thing was going to happen.

717
00:34:59.304 --> 00:35:04.026
So his daughter plays like the flute, she
paints, she sculpts, he does a whole bunch

718
00:35:04.026 --> 00:35:04.246
of stuff.

719
00:35:04.426 --> 00:35:08.889
And then you see the first thing that this
thing does is it plays music, it draws, it

720
00:35:08.889 --> 00:35:08.908
does video.

721
00:35:09.429 --> 00:35:10.129
You know what I mean?

722
00:35:10.129 --> 00:35:11.770
The first thing it takes down is art.

723
00:35:12.514 --> 00:35:19.396
you know what i mean and then you say okay
maybe be a programmer and other

724
00:35:19.396 --> 00:35:21.396
programmers are losing their jobs i don't
know what i can show

725
00:35:21.396 --> 00:35:25.978
a career she could have in 20 years time
that this thing you know where i'm getting

726
00:35:25.978 --> 00:35:27.978
at as well

727
00:35:27.978 --> 00:35:29.359
lindsay and it's so important from being
south africa yeah

728
00:35:29.359 --> 00:35:36.301
is that you realize that you know the
world is getting smarter certainly the us

729
00:35:36.301 --> 00:35:38.301
is getting smarter

730
00:35:38.301 --> 00:35:40.882
and i'm not sure we can keep up with it
you know each year that goes by

731
00:35:41.258 --> 00:35:48.224
We actually slip a little behind and I'm
not saying there's anything wrong with our

732
00:35:48.224 --> 00:35:50.224
varsities or anything wrong with our
schools because there's some

733
00:35:50.224 --> 00:35:52.367
really excellent private schools as well,
but as a population,

734
00:35:54.589 --> 00:35:58.852
even as a continent, we just slip further
and further behind.

735
00:35:59.913 --> 00:36:05.478
And Lizzie, thank goodness I'm old because
I wouldn't know how I could survive in

736
00:36:05.478 --> 00:36:07.478
this kind of environment.

737
00:36:07.478 --> 00:36:08.040
You'd survive, don't worry.

738
00:36:08.040 --> 00:36:10.282
It's so different from the way we were
brought up.

739
00:36:11.955 --> 00:36:18.398
When I meet all the kids, which are almost
grandkids to me at that age, they're at

740
00:36:18.398 --> 00:36:20.398
Yale, they're at Brown,

741
00:36:20.398 --> 00:36:22.398
they're at a math school.

742
00:36:22.398 --> 00:36:24.398
I don't know if you've heard of this one,
Colby.

743
00:36:24.398 --> 00:36:26.398
No.

744
00:36:26.398 --> 00:36:28.398
I don't know.

745
00:36:28.398 --> 00:36:30.398
Which is math.

746
00:36:30.398 --> 00:36:30.746
I'm talking to Viv as well, who might know
the best math schools in the US.

747
00:36:30.826 --> 00:36:33.327
But math school, I mean math colleges.

748
00:36:33.767 --> 00:36:36.289
But this is tough.

749
00:36:36.609 --> 00:36:37.850
You know, when I say the kids.

750
00:36:38.482 --> 00:36:45.225
Have it tough, and if you're going to
survive and do well, which you can, you

751
00:36:45.225 --> 00:36:47.225
must see my grandkids come home,

752
00:36:47.225 --> 00:36:49.225
9 o'clock, half past nine.

753
00:36:49.225 --> 00:36:51.225
They do all the extra murals.

754
00:36:51.225 --> 00:36:53.225
Lindsay, the other point.

755
00:36:53.225 --> 00:36:55.225
Sorry, I know we're going on because I
won't speak to you next week.

756
00:36:55.225 --> 00:36:57.225
No, this is interesting.

757
00:36:57.225 --> 00:36:59.225
What are you doing next week?

758
00:36:59.225 --> 00:37:01.225
What's wrong with next week?

759
00:37:01.225 --> 00:37:03.225
No, I'll be flying home.

760
00:37:03.225 --> 00:37:05.225
Oh, I see.

761
00:37:05.225 --> 00:37:07.225
But what I wanted to say is my grandson, I
went to watch him play.

762
00:37:07.225 --> 00:37:09.225
You've got to call it soccer.

763
00:37:09.225 --> 00:37:11.225
You can't call it football.

764
00:37:11.225 --> 00:37:13.225
Otherwise, you're talking about that other
game.

765
00:37:13.225 --> 00:37:15.225
But, you know, he's in the, he plays for
his school.

766
00:37:15.225 --> 00:37:16.117
He's still a junior, which means he's
like, you know, next year, senior.

767
00:37:17.118 --> 00:37:18.098
He's a pretty good player.

768
00:37:18.138 --> 00:37:18.838
I watch them.

769
00:37:19.158 --> 00:37:22.380
They train, they train virtually every
day.

770
00:37:23.280 --> 00:37:26.721
You know, this is not, when I was at Wits
playing high level soccer,

771
00:37:26.741 --> 00:37:30.743
we might've trained at one hour twice a
week or something like this.

772
00:37:30.903 --> 00:37:33.744
These kids train every day.

773
00:37:33.744 --> 00:37:35.105
That is unhealthy, David.

774
00:37:35.125 --> 00:37:35.825
I'm sorry.

775
00:37:35.825 --> 00:37:37.946
And again, I'm digressing now to both of
you.

776
00:37:38.286 --> 00:37:44.952
I watched an episode of Boston Legal,
which is one of my favourite legal

777
00:37:44.952 --> 00:37:46.952
programmes, old things with James Spader
and William Shatner,

778
00:37:46.952 --> 00:37:47.494
and what's that beautiful woman's name?

779
00:37:48.295 --> 00:37:49.236
I can't remember anyway.

780
00:37:49.736 --> 00:37:56.302
But anyway, there was a court case, and
the woman was suing the school because her

781
00:37:56.302 --> 00:37:58.302
child, who committed suicide, no,

782
00:37:58.302 --> 00:38:00.545
she fell asleep at the wheel and crashed
her car and died.

783
00:38:01.066 --> 00:38:05.510
And she sued the school because there was
so much pressure to do well.

784
00:38:06.106 --> 00:38:11.108
And she felt that she had to stay and do
three or four hours after normal school

785
00:38:11.108 --> 00:38:11.188
hours,

786
00:38:11.369 --> 00:38:13.289
and she was so exhausted that that's what
it did.

787
00:38:13.650 --> 00:38:17.451
I don't know if it's healthy, David, and
Viv will come on this in a second.

788
00:38:17.812 --> 00:38:19.352
Yeah, I'll let you point something out,
right?

789
00:38:19.733 --> 00:38:25.175
If you look at people that work the
hardest, South Korea, most hours in

790
00:38:25.175 --> 00:38:27.175
school, hard-working people and so on,

791
00:38:27.175 --> 00:38:29.175
Japan did the same thing.

792
00:38:29.175 --> 00:38:31.175
It gets you far.

793
00:38:31.175 --> 00:38:33.175
It gets you far.

794
00:38:33.175 --> 00:38:35.175
It gets you to almost a first-world
country level.

795
00:38:35.175 --> 00:38:38.630
but the u.s has something different the
u.s is so much richer than south korea

796
00:38:38.630 --> 00:38:40.630
it's like twice as wealthy as south korea
twice as wealthy as japan per

797
00:38:40.630 --> 00:38:45.334
person right uh and the reason is not
because they are the hardest working it's

798
00:38:45.334 --> 00:38:47.334
not because they are the the the grinders

799
00:38:47.334 --> 00:38:52.517
it's because they have the spark the
inspiration you know what i mean yeah and

800
00:38:52.517 --> 00:38:54.517
i think and i think also if you look at
some africans going to the us and david

801
00:38:54.517 --> 00:38:56.517
mentioned our

802
00:38:56.517 --> 00:38:58.321
schools may be falling behind actually
some african immigrants are some of the

803
00:38:58.321 --> 00:39:00.321
wealthiest immigrants in the u.s the

804
00:39:00.321 --> 00:39:01.442
top two or three i think a lot is
immigrants in the u.s South Africans.

805
00:39:01.862 --> 00:39:04.263
I don't just because we're in a mosque.

806
00:39:04.283 --> 00:39:07.084
I could see it, yeah.

807
00:39:07.084 --> 00:39:07.784
Yeah, I heard doctors.

808
00:39:07.784 --> 00:39:09.084
Yeah, carry on, sorry.

809
00:39:09.084 --> 00:39:11.505
The reason is, I think, is that freedom.

810
00:39:11.965 --> 00:39:18.507
And we were just, as you spilt it up,
discussing this at work, and talking about

811
00:39:18.507 --> 00:39:20.507
the Norwegians and the Dades, who at one
time were Vikings.

812
00:39:20.507 --> 00:39:22.507
Sorry, not to be offensive, yeah.

813
00:39:22.507 --> 00:39:23.428
Norwegians and Dades are like...

814
00:39:23.508 --> 00:39:26.409
In place for Man City, yeah.

815
00:39:26.609 --> 00:39:30.050
The opposite of what the leader of a
Viking is nowadays, isn't it?

816
00:39:30.402 --> 00:39:36.124
a norwegian person is the opposite of the
marauding pirate you would imagine same

817
00:39:36.124 --> 00:39:38.124
with the day right

818
00:39:38.124 --> 00:39:44.506
right and i think that yes obviously
they're probably nicer people for being

819
00:39:44.506 --> 00:39:46.506
that but there is a spark that's lost when
you you just basically

820
00:39:46.506 --> 00:39:47.307
work it out and grind it out there is
something to be said

821
00:39:47.387 --> 00:39:54.269
for the daydreamers and the you know the
crazy people in the world yeah gosh what a

822
00:39:54.269 --> 00:39:59.868
lot to think about david you want you want
to end this um this uh Very illuminating

823
00:39:59.868 --> 00:40:01.868
discussion with you.

824
00:40:01.868 --> 00:40:03.868
Your final thoughts, please.

825
00:40:03.868 --> 00:40:08.176
No, I'm saying for, you know, in the
Boston community here, as I said, which

826
00:40:08.176 --> 00:40:10.176
are mainly made up of, you know,

827
00:40:10.176 --> 00:40:10.199
that my daughter hangs out with many
expats.

828
00:40:10.679 --> 00:40:12.381
All of them have done incredibly well.

829
00:40:12.721 --> 00:40:14.303
All their kids are at good schools.

830
00:40:14.723 --> 00:40:21.350
And you can see the opportunity that
they've been given, which is I doubt would

831
00:40:21.350 --> 00:40:23.350
have been given in South Africa.

832
00:40:23.350 --> 00:40:28.712
You know, you can become, they can become
ministers of finances or secretary of the

833
00:40:28.712 --> 00:40:30.712
treasuries or, you know,

834
00:40:30.712 --> 00:40:30.932
go in rounds in politics and so on.

835
00:40:31.933 --> 00:40:33.313
And I think that's, you know, vivid.

836
00:40:34.093 --> 00:40:35.694
You bring up a very important point.

837
00:40:36.194 --> 00:40:39.955
It is the freedom here to do what you want
to do and the pressure as well.

838
00:40:39.995 --> 00:40:45.856
You know, you do have peer pressure, but
still successful and rich.

839
00:40:46.157 --> 00:40:49.938
When I say rich, Boston, you know, when
you go around New York, you go around

840
00:40:49.938 --> 00:40:50.137
Boston.

841
00:40:50.137 --> 00:40:51.598
I'm not talking about ex-South Africans.

842
00:40:52.058 --> 00:40:55.441
I mean, the level of wealth here is
something that we can't quite comprehend.

843
00:40:56.042 --> 00:40:57.103
It's just beyond us.

844
00:40:57.703 --> 00:40:58.403
Okay.

845
00:40:58.403 --> 00:40:59.765
On that note, we will leave it.

846
00:40:59.765 --> 00:41:05.249
Gentlemen, thank you very much, as always,
for such a fascinating chat on all sorts

847
00:41:05.249 --> 00:41:07.249
of different matters.

848
00:41:07.249 --> 00:41:09.249
That was the Five O'Clock Shadow.

849
00:41:09.249 --> 00:41:11.249
Viv Govender is from Ranswiss in
Johannesburg.

850
00:41:11.249 --> 00:41:11.935
David Shapiro speaking to us from Boston.

851
00:41:11.955 --> 00:41:13.356
He's from SAS for Insecurities.

852
00:41:13.456 --> 00:41:15.057
And as I said, that's the Five O'Clock
Shadow.

853
00:41:15.257 --> 00:41:20.602
The views and opinions expressed in these
podcasts are those of Lindsay Williams and

854
00:41:20.602 --> 00:41:22.602
various contributors.

855
00:41:22.602 --> 00:41:26.724
and do not reflect the policy, position,
or opinion of any other agency,

856
00:41:26.724 --> 00:41:28.724
organization, employer,

857
00:41:28.724 --> 00:41:30.905
or company associated with
StrictlyBusinessPodcast.com.

858
00:41:31.365 --> 00:41:38.327
Assumptions made on the analyses are not
reflective of the position of any other

859
00:41:38.327 --> 00:41:40.327
entity other than the speaker or the
author.

860
00:41:40.327 --> 00:41:44.509
And since we are critically thinking human
beings, these views are always subject to

861
00:41:44.509 --> 00:41:46.509
change, revision,

862
00:41:46.509 --> 00:41:46.649
and rethinking at any time.

863
00:41:46.969 --> 00:41:49.370
Please do not hold us to them in
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